Phillies vs. Cardinals Saturday Pick

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals, 5/19/2018 Prediction & Odds

The Philadelphia Phillies and St. Louis Cardinals split the first two games of their four-game set at Busch Stadium. Who will take a series lead on Saturday when the two face off at 2:15 p.m. ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

951 Philadelphia Phillies (+116) at 952 St. Louis Cardinals (-126); 9 runs

Saturday, May 19, 2018

2:15 p.m. ET, Busch Stadium

TV: PHI (CSP); STL (FSMW)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Cardinals as a -126 favorite. As of this writing, 62% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Phillies to beat the Cardinals on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Phillies' Eflin combines on shutout of Giants in last start

Zach Eflin struck out nine in 6 2/3 innings and combined with three relievers on a shutout of the Giants on Monday. Eflin has a 0.71 ERA in two starts since replacing an injured Ben Lively in the Phillies rotation. Of course, last year he had a 1.50 ERA after two starts and still ended up coming in at 6.16 in 11 starts total. It's a good sign that his velocity has taken a step forward this year, but we're still rather skeptical; history has him as a flyball pitcher with a subpar strikeout rate.

Cardinals' Gant allows four earned runs in loss to Twins

John Gant allowed four earned runs over 5 1/3 innings Monday in a loss to the Twins. Gant walked the very first batter he faced and then served up a pair of first-inning RBI doubles to set the tone for an ugly night for St. Louis. Gant had been pitching well at Triple-A Memphis, but it might be a while before he gets another chance at the major league level given all of the better options in the Cardinals' organization.

MLB Betting Trends

Philadelphia

The Phillies are now 5-16 in their last 21 games versus the Cardinals overall and are 5-16 in their last 21 games in St. Louis following last night's loss.

St. Louis

The Cardinals are 11-4 in their last 15 home games and are 26-12 in their last 38 games against the National League East.

Prediction:

I took the Phillies last night because I thought Eflin was getting the start. After rain threatened the start of the game last night, the Phillies decided to push him back to Saturday. With a more favorable pitching matchup today, I'm not going to back off Philadelphia. The Cardinals, despite what they showed last night, have not hit well in weeks. And now they're down another starter in shortstop Paul DeJong, who was placed on the disabled list on Friday. The Cards don't fare well against pitchers they haven't seen much of and Eflin fits the bill.

The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies +112

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