Dodgers vs. Marlins Thursday Prediction

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins, 5/17/2018 Prediction & Odds

The struggling Los Angeles Dodgers are favored on the road Thursday afternoon in Miami. Will the Dodgers snap their six-game losing streak or will the Marlins pull off what was thought to be an improbable sweep at the start of this series?

Game Snapshot & Odds

951 Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) at 952 Miami Marlins (+140); 8 runs

Thursday, May 17, 2018

12:10 p.m. ET, Marlins Park

TV: LAD (SNLA); MIA (FSFL)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Dodgers as a -155 favorite. As of this writing, 55% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Dodgers to beat the Marlins on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Dodgers' Maeda allows five runs in another loss

Kenta Maeda surrendered five runs in 4 2/3 innings Friday in a loss to the Reds. With 46 strikeouts, 13 walks and four homers allowed in 36 innings, Maeda's peripherals are strong. However, he's allowed 40 hits, leaving him with a 4.75 ERA. He should do considerably better the rest of the way.

Marlins' Smith limits damage but still loses to Braves

Caleb Smith gave up seven hits and walked two but allowed just two runs over 5 1/3 innings in a loss to the Braves on Thursday. Things could have been much worse for Smith, who allowed multiple baserunners in three of the six innings in which he pitched. Despite the loss, he's been above average in each of his last four starts, dropping his ERA from 6.89 to 3.63 across the four starts. A start Wednesday against the Dodgers is on deck for the southpaw.

MLB Betting Trends

Los Angeles

The Dodgers are now winless in their last four games versus the Marlins.

Miami

The under is 8-2 in the last 10 games between these two teams in Miami but the over is 45-21-6 in the last 72 meetings between these two teams.

Prediction:

Maeda has a healthy strikeout rate, walk rate and hard contact rate so don't be fooled by the high ERA. That said, I still don't love the Dodgers in this spot. The Marlins are a weak-hitting club overall but they fare well against right-handed pitchers while the Dodgers have struggled against lefties. The pitching matchup slightly favors L.A. but when you consider the Dodgers have lost six straight and Smith has a healthy strikeout rate of 28.2%, I'm willing to take the chance that the Marlins pull off another upset.

The Pick: Miami Marlins +140

Loading...

MLB Headlines

MLB Predictions & Picks

Thumbnail Rays vs. Dodgers Game 1 Prediction Game 1 of the 2020 World Series takes place tonight at Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX as the Dodgers take on the Rays at 8:09 p.m. ET. With Tyler Glasnow set to...
Thumbnail Astros vs. Rays Game 6 Prediction The Astros have rallied back in the ALCS to win a pair of games but they still trail the Rays three games to two and still face elimination on Friday evening when...
Thumbnail Dodgers vs. Braves Game 4 Prediction After routing the Braves in Game 3 on Wednesday, will the Dodgers pick up another win and even up their series with Atlanta in Game 4 tonight at 8:08 p.m. ET?...
Thumbnail Rays vs. Astros Game 4 Prediction The Rays will send Tyler Glasnow to the hill look for a sweep tonight of the Astros and advance to the World Series. Listed as a -145 money line favorite, will...
Thumbnail Dodgers vs. Braves Game 3 Prediction The Dodgers now find themselves in a 2-0 series hole following their 8-7 loss to the Braves in Game 2 on Tuesday night. Will L.A rebound with a win on Wednesday...