Dodgers vs. Marlins Thursday Prediction

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins, 5/17/2018 Prediction & Odds

The struggling Los Angeles Dodgers are favored on the road Thursday afternoon in Miami. Will the Dodgers snap their six-game losing streak or will the Marlins pull off what was thought to be an improbable sweep at the start of this series?

Game Snapshot & Odds

951 Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) at 952 Miami Marlins (+140); 8 runs

Thursday, May 17, 2018

12:10 p.m. ET, Marlins Park

TV: LAD (SNLA); MIA (FSFL)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Dodgers as a -155 favorite. As of this writing, 55% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Dodgers to beat the Marlins on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Dodgers' Maeda allows five runs in another loss

Kenta Maeda surrendered five runs in 4 2/3 innings Friday in a loss to the Reds. With 46 strikeouts, 13 walks and four homers allowed in 36 innings, Maeda's peripherals are strong. However, he's allowed 40 hits, leaving him with a 4.75 ERA. He should do considerably better the rest of the way.

Marlins' Smith limits damage but still loses to Braves

Caleb Smith gave up seven hits and walked two but allowed just two runs over 5 1/3 innings in a loss to the Braves on Thursday. Things could have been much worse for Smith, who allowed multiple baserunners in three of the six innings in which he pitched. Despite the loss, he's been above average in each of his last four starts, dropping his ERA from 6.89 to 3.63 across the four starts. A start Wednesday against the Dodgers is on deck for the southpaw.

MLB Betting Trends

Los Angeles

The Dodgers are now winless in their last four games versus the Marlins.

Miami

The under is 8-2 in the last 10 games between these two teams in Miami but the over is 45-21-6 in the last 72 meetings between these two teams.

Prediction:

Maeda has a healthy strikeout rate, walk rate and hard contact rate so don't be fooled by the high ERA. That said, I still don't love the Dodgers in this spot. The Marlins are a weak-hitting club overall but they fare well against right-handed pitchers while the Dodgers have struggled against lefties. The pitching matchup slightly favors L.A. but when you consider the Dodgers have lost six straight and Smith has a healthy strikeout rate of 28.2%, I'm willing to take the chance that the Marlins pull off another upset.

The Pick: Miami Marlins +140

Loading...

MLB Headlines

MLB Predictions & Picks

Thumbnail Dodgers vs. Braves Prediction Game 1 of the NLCS between the Dodgers and Braves will take place on Saturday night at 8:08 p.m. ET. Will the Dodgers earn a 1-0 series lead or are the Braves the...
Thumbnail Red Sox vs. Astros MLB Prediction Following the Astros’ come-from-behind victory last night against the Red Sox, Houston will look to take a 2-0 series lead on Saturday afternoon when these two teams...
Thumbnail Red Sox vs. Astros ALCS Game 1 Pick Game 1 of the ALCS is set for 8:07 p.m. ET on Friday when the Astros host the Red Sox on FOX. With Chris Sale set to oppose Framber Valdez, which side has the edge...
Thumbnail Dodgers vs. Giants Game 5 Prediction It all comes down to Thursday night in San Francisco when the Giants host their bitter rivals the Dodgers for Game 5 of the NLDS at 9:07 p.m. ET. Which team will...
Thumbnail Giants vs. Dodgers Game 4 Prediction The Giants are on the verge of eliminating the Dodgers and punching their ticket to the NLCS following their 1-0 win in Game 3 of the NLDS on Monday night. Is San...