Indians vs. Brewers Prediction
After a nice upset win over their ace, will the Milwaukee Brewers find another win over the Cleveland Indians when the two meet up today at 1:10PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Wednesday, May 9, 2018
1:10PM ET – Miller Park
TV: FSWI (Mil); STO (Cle)
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers, the Indians are favored on the road, as they are getting odds of -160 to win. Milwaukee is getting a money line of +135 to prevail, while the over/under total has been set at 8.5 runs. The public betting currently has 53% going on Cleveland on the road today. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Indians fall below .500
Cleveland suffered a surprising 3-2 loss on Tuesday with Corey Kluber on the mound. They have now dropped four straight coming into today’s game. The Indians are 17-18 overall and 6-10 on the road. They are now putting up 4.59 runs per game while allowing 4.44 per contest.
Carlos Carrasco hopes to stop the bleeding for Cleveland today. He is 4-1 through seven starts with a 3.95 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP. He has given up 11 runs over his last two starts, as his ERA has climbed over 1.5 runs. Over 43.1 innings this season, he has 39 strikeouts and 10 walks.
With Tuesday’s win, the Brewers have alternated wins and losses over their last five games. Still, they have won five of their last seven. Milwaukee is now 21-15 overall and 10-8 at home. The Brewers are putting up 3.77 runs per game this season while allowing just 3.77 per contest.
Junior Guerra takes the mound for the Brewers today. He is 2-2 through five starts this season with a 2.33 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. Over 27 innings of work, Guerra has 25 strikeouts with 12 walks. He is coming off a 5-run effort against the Pirates. He has allowed just two earned runs in the other four starts combined.
MLB Betting Trends
The Indians are just 7-19 in their last 26 interleague games and 2-10 in their last 12 interleague road games. They have won 36 of Carrasco’s last 52 road starts.
The Brewers have won eight of their last 10 games at home and four straight Wednesday games. They also have won Guerra’s last four Wednesday starts.
The Indians aren’t doing much at the plate right now and wasted a good start from their ace on Tuesday. I expect them to struggle at the plate against Guerra today, who has allowed limited damage outside of his last start. I also think Carrasco is trending on the down side right now, so Milwaukee could find some early success.
The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers +135