Royals vs. Orioles Free Pick

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BALTIMORE, MD (ATS Consultants) - Will the Royals pull off the small upset when they visit the Orioles tonight at 7:05PM ET?

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ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Orioles are currently -114 money line favorites over the Royals, who are +105 on the ML. The total, meanwhile, is currently sitting at 8.5 runs.

LINE MOVEMENT: The Orioles opened as -113 money line favorites but their odds have been bet up to -114, while the Royals' odds have gone from +104 to +105. Kansas City is 17-13 on the year and 7-8 on the road, while Baltimore is 21-13 overall and 9-5 at home.

PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 63% of the betting public currently favors Kansas City. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most updated numbers.

MLB FREE PICK: Take Kansas City. According to latest MLB trends, Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series, 15-6 in their last 21 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15,  5-2 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series,  15-2 in Guthrie's last 17 starts on grass and 9-2 in Guthrie's last 11 starts as an underdog. 

The Royals (17-13, 7-8 road, 13-16 O/U) are looking to salvage a three-game series, while Baltimore (21-13, 9-5 home, 18-14 O/U) wants a sweep. The Royals send Jeremy Guthrie to the mound against his old team. Guthrie pitched for the Orioles from 2007-11 and was their ace most of the time. The Royals kicked the ball around on Wednesday, committing three errors and tossing a wild pitch in a 5-3 loss. Guthrie goes up against 36-year old veteran Freddy Garcia, who allowed two runs in 6 2/3 innings against the struggling Angels on Saturday. He has a career mark of 10-13 with a 5.69 ERA in 30 all-time appearances against the Royals. The Royals have won five of Guthrie's six starts this year as he has a 4-0 record with a 2.40 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP. Expect the Royals to take the last game of this series.

MLB FREE PICK: KANSAS CITY ROYALS +105

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