Mets vs. Reds Prediction
The New York Mets were one of the early-season darlings, but things have changed in a big way. Will the Mets stop their freefall tonight when they face the Cincinnati Reds at 7:10PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Monday, May 7, 2018
7:10PM ET – Great American Ball Park
TV: SNY (NY); FSOH (Cin)
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers, the Mets are a slight favorite on the road tonight, as they are getting odds of -115 to win. The Reds are getting a money line of -105 to win. The over/under total has been set at 9.5 runs. The public betting currently has 55% going on Cincinnati at home today. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Mets losers of six straight
The Mets have lost six straight games coming into tonight’s road contest. They have been shutout in three of those losses as well. New York is now 17-15 overall and 10-5 on the road. The Mets are averaging 4.31 runs per game this season while allowing 4.59 per contest.
New York is handing the ball over to rookie PJ Conlon tonight. He is making his MLB debut in this start. The 24-year-old lefty is from Belfast, Northern Ireland.
Reds a mess
While the Reds haven’t lost six straight, they have lost five of their last six games. They are now 8-26 overall and 4-14 at home. Cincinnati is putting up 3.88 runs per game this season while allowing 5.36 per contest.
The Reds will have Homer Bailey take the mound tonight. Bailey is 0-4 through his seven starts this season. He has a 4.81 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP. Bailey has pitched 39.1 innings this season and has 22 strikeouts with 12 walks. He has given up two home runs in each of his last three starts.
MLB Betting Trends
The Mets have lost four straight against right-handed starters, but they are 19-7 in their last 26 games against a team with a win percentage below .400.
The Reds have dropped 20 of Bailey’s last 27 starts, including 12 of his last 14 starts at home. Cincy is also just 11-27 in its last 38 games against NL East opponents.
This is a tough one to call as both teams are a mess right now. The bats for New York have gone terribly silent and they send a rookie to the mound today. Bailey hasn’t pitched well for Cincinnati and the Reds aren’t doing much at the plate all year either. I will go with New York due to their strong road record and because sometimes a rookie can have success in his debut if the opponents don’t have much film to study. I think Conlon can succeed against this Cincinnati lineup.
The Pick: New York Mets -115