Twins vs. Blue Jays Monday Prediction
The Twins and Blue Jays open a new series in Toronto on Monday night when they meet at 7:07 p.m. ET. Given the pitching matchup, are the Blue Jays a good bet to win Game 1 of the series?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Monday, May 6, 2019
7:07 p.m. ET, Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
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Public Betting Trends
According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 53% of the betting tickets are on the Blue Jays to beat the Twins on the moneyline.
Minnesota Twins Fantasy Spin
Marwin Gonzalez went 2-for-4 with an RBI single in Sunday's loss to the Yankees. Gonzalez got the Twins on the board against Yanks starter Domingo German in the fourth inning with a run-scoring single, the only run the Twins would push across against the right-hander. He came up in another big spot in the eighth inning, representing the tying run with two on and two out, but hard-throwing closer got Marwin to strike out to end the threat. In his first year with the Twins, the 30-year-old is hitting a pedestrian .204/.271/.286 through 28 games.
Toronto Blue Jays Fantasy Spin
Eric Sogard hit his fourth home run of the season in Sunday's loss to the Rangers. Rangers starter Drew Smyly tried to get a high fastball past Sogard in the third inning, and Sogard lined it over the right-field wall -- actually hitting the top of the wall before bouncing over -- for a solo homer. The four homers are actually a career high for Sogard despite having seasons of 130, 120 and 117 games played to his name. The 32-year-old has done nothing but rake in his 15 games since being promoted in mid-April, now batting .375/.470/.696 overall.
MLB Betting Trends
The Twins are a perfect 4-0 in their last four games played at Rogers Centre.
The Blue Jays are 56-26 in their last 82 games versus the Twins overall.
The Blue Jays’ matchup with Martin Perez is exploitable. The Minnesota starter is allowing hard contact at a 39.4% rate, owns a 5.42 ERA and a 5.00 SIERA and is striking out batters at only a 15.1% clip. Toronto’s offense is streaky but the Jays should be able to get to Perez early and rely on Marcus Stroman to put together a competitive start to give them an opportunity to win.
The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -111