Giants vs. Reds Sunday Prediction

San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds, 5/5/2019 Predictions & Odds

Apparently, all the struggling Reds’ offense needed was to face San Francisco pitching at home. After rocking the Giants’ pitching staff the last two nights, will the Reds earn a series win with a victory on Sunday in the rubber match between these two teams?

Game Snapshot & Odds

911 San Francisco Giants (+165) at 912 Cincinnati Reds (-180); 8.5 runs

Sunday, May 5, 2019

4:10 p.m. ET, Great American Ballpark, Cincinnati, OH

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Public Betting Trends

According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 68% of the betting tickets are on the Reds to beat the Giants on the money line.

San Francisco Giants Fantasy Spin

Steven Duggar went 2-for-2 with a walk and two RBI on Saturday in a loss to the Reds. Duggar singled in runs in the second and eighth inning, respectively. The two hits up his average to .269, and the free pass jumps the on-base percentage to .308. He remains without fantasy value in all but the deepest of formats due to the lack of power and run production.

Cincinnati Reds Fantasy Spin

Yasiel Puig went 3-for-4 with a homer and two RBI in a win over the Giants on Saturday. Puig punctuated the blowout victory on Saturday with a solo shot in the seventh off of Pat Venditte. It's the fifth homer of the season for the outfielder, and the bomb along with an RBI single in the first give him 17 runs batted in. Puig is still just hitting .207 to begin the year, but we have very little doubt that he'll turn things around. This could be the start of a hot streak.

MLB Betting Trends

San Francisco

The Giants are 4-1 in Jeff Samardzija’s last five starts.

Cincinnati

The Reds have won seven of their last 10 home games.

Prediction:

Samardzija has been surprising good this season, posting a 2-1 record with a 3.00 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP in five starts. He also owns a 24/9 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 27 innings of work, so perhaps the under is the best play today. That said, with he way the ball has been flying out of the yard this weekend in Cincinnati, I’m not willing to take that risk. Even though Samardzija has been good, I trust the Reds offense to get to him before the Giants sniff Luis Castillo, who is quickly becoming one of the better young pitchers in the game. The Reds are 4-1 in Castillo’s last five home starts and are now 8-1 in their last nine home games against the Giants, with the one loss coming Friday night when they blew a 10-3 lead.

The Pick: Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+115)

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