Reds vs. Mets Prediction
The Cincinnati Reds won a pitcher's duel last night at the New York Mets in game three of the four-game series. Can Cincinnati post another victory today to win three out of four in New York?
Thursday, May 2, 2019
Citi Field at 12:10PM ET
TV: MLB Network
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Public Betting Information
According to oddsmakers, the Mets are a -172 favorite to win on the moneyline. The Reds are a +162 underdog, while the over-under sits at 7.5 runs. As of Thursday morning, 72 percent of public bets are coming in on host New York. Check out our MLB Public Betting Page for the latest info.
Iglesias homers to send Reds to win
Jose Iglesias hit a solo home run in the top of the ninth inning Wednesday night to send Cincinnati to a 1-0 victory at New York. The game remained scoreless until the ninth inning when Iglesias played the role of hero. He finished the contest 2-for-4 at the dish with his second home run of the season. Jesse Winker was 1-for-2 with two walks in the win, while Anthony DeSclafani helped his own cause by going 1-for-2. Zach Duke picked up the win in relief as he retired the only batter he faced. Michael Lorenzen threw a perfect inning with one strikeout to record his second save of the season. DeSclafani threw 5 2/3 innings of shutout baseball before the bullpen took over. Tyler Mahle will start this afternoon for the Reds and he comes in with an 0-3 record, 4.50 ERA, 1.39 WHIP plus 26 strikeouts over 28 innings.
Mets held to five hits
New York was shut out by a count of 1-0 at home Wednesday night versus Cincinatti as the visitors scored the contest's only run in the top of the ninth inning. Robinson Cano paced the Mets' offense as he was 1-for-4 with a double. Amed Rosario was 1-for-3, while Jeff McNeil plus Pete Alonso and J.D. Davis all finished 1-for-4. Edwin Diaz suffered the loss in relief as he allowed a solo home run while striking out one and walking none in one inning of work. Jacob deGrom threw seven shutout innings but did not receive any run support before departing. Noah Syndergaard starts for New York as he enters with a 1-3 record, 6.35 ERA, 1.47 WHIP plus 39 strikeouts over 34 innings.
MLB Betting Trends
The Reds are 5-1 in their last six Thursday games. Cincinnati is 0-6 in its last six game fours of a series.
The Mets are 22-8 in the last 30 meetings. New York is 5-0 in Syndergaard's last five starts versus Cincinnati.
Syndergaard has been brutal lately and it's hard to trust him here even against a Reds offense that has been disappointing so far this season. I feel like this is a good opportunity to take a home dog and bank on the opposing pitcher to continue struggling. Oddsmakers still give Syndergaard the benefit of the doubt and it's likely he'll get it going before long, but take advantage of a nice moneyline during his rough stretch.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: CINCINNATI REDS +162