Phillies vs. Marlins Wednesday Pick

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins, 5/2/2018 Prediction & Odds

Suddenly the Miami Marlins are one of the hotter teams in baseball. They'll attempt to win their fifth consecutive game on Wednesday night and in the process, sweep the Philadelphia Phillies. The National League East rivals will meet at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Game Snapshot & Odds

909 Philadelphia Phillies (-160) at 910 Miami Marlins (+145); 7.5 runs

Wednesday, May 2, 2018

7:10 p.m. ET, Marlins Park

TV: PHI (CSP); MIA (FSFL)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Phillies as a -160 favorite. As of this writing, 73% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Phillies to beat the Marlins on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Phillies' Nola pitches seven innings in win over Braves

Aaron Nola notched a win Friday against the Braves after allowing three runs over seven innings. Things didn’t look promising after Nola gave up three runs in the first inning, but he settled down from there while his offense battled back. He struck out four batters in the victory while allowing seven hits and one walk.

Nola has allowed three earned runs or fewer in all six of his starts this season and has completed seven innings in three out of his last four outings. He’ll carry a sterling 2.58 ERA into a juicy matchup against the Marlins next week.

Marlins' Urena excellent in tough-luck loss

Jose Urena fired seven innings of one-run ball, but was handed a tough-luck loss Friday against the Rockies. Oddly enough, the only damage came on an RBI double from pitcher Antonio Senzatela. While Urena fell to 0-4 on the year, it was an impressive outing.

He held the Rockies to six hits while walking one (intentional) and striking out five. He threw an efficient 98 pitches and delivered first-pitch strikes to 20 out of the 26 batters he faced. Urena owns a 4.91 ERA through six starts this year, two of them very good and four not-so-good. He’ll try for the former next week against the Phillies.

MLB Betting Trends

Philadelphia

The Phillies are 1-4 in Nola's last five starts versus the Marlins and are 5-16 in Nola's last 21 road outings.

Miami

The Marlins are 0-8 in Urena's last eight starts, are 1-10 in his last 11 outings versus a team with a winning record and are 8-22 in his last 30 home starts.

Prediction:

The Marlins have won four straight games, are 4-0 in their last home games and are 4-1 in their last five games coming off a win. They're also 5-0 in their last five games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game and are 5-0 in their last five games when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game. I'll take the hotter team getting the plus odds.

 

The Pick: Miami Marlins +145

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