Royals vs. Red Sox Prediction
After a very surprising loss at home to the Kansas City Royals, will the Boston Red Sox bounce back this afternoon at 1:05PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Wednesday, May 2, 2018
1:05PM ET – Fenway Park
TV: FSKC (KC); NESN (Bos)
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers, the Red Sox are the clear favorite at home, as they are getting odds of -195 to win. The Royals are listed with a money line of +165 to prevail. The over/under total has been set at 10 runs. The public betting currently has 95% going on Boston as the clear home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Royals sneak out Game 2
The Royals have won three of their last four after taking Game 2 of this midweek series on Tuesday, 7-6 in 13 innings. KC is now 8-21 overall and 5-9 on the road. Kansas City is averaging just 3.39 runs per game while allowing 5.71 per contest.
Danny Duffy will get the start for the Royals today. He is 0-3 through six starts and the Royals have lost all six that he has appeared in. Duffy carries a 5.40 ERA right now as well as a 1.45 WHIP. Through 31.2 innings he has 14 walks and 28 strikeouts.
Boston in a funk
Including Tuesday’s loss, the Red Sox have now lost six of their last 10 games. They have also dropped three of their last five at home. The Sox are 21-8 overall and 10-4 at home. Boston is putting up 5.68 runs per game this season while allowing 3.43 per contest.
Drew Pomeranz makes just his third start of the season today for Boston. He has not looked good thus far, posting an 0-1 record with a 7.27 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP. Through just 8.2 innings of work, Pomeranz has 11 strikeouts with four walks.
MLB Betting Trends
They Royals have lost five of six games to AL East opponents and dropped 11 of their last 12 Game 3’s in a series. They have also lost Duffy’s last seven starts.
Boston is just 1-6 in its last seven home games against a left-handed start and 2-6 in their last eight against a left-handed starter in general. They have won 14 of Pomeranz’ last 19 home starts.
I find it hard to believe KC would actually take a series at Boston, but I do feel like the Royals are the better play with the odds so long. It’s hard to trust Boston with Pomeranz on the mound and their bullpen didn’t look very good on Tuesday. Duffy certainly doesn’t have good numbers either, but he is a pitcher that is still capable of a good outing. I am going to take my chances on the longshot given Boston has been inconsistent as of late.
The Pick: Kansas City Royals +165