Braves vs. Mets Tuesday Prediction

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets, 5/1/2018 Prediction & Odds

National League East rivals will square off in the Big Apple on Tuesday night when the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets kick off a new series. With Noah Syndergaard toeing the rubber for the Mets, are they a shoe-in to win Game 1 of the series?

Game Snapshot & Odds

955 Atlanta Braves (+160) at 956 New York Mets (-180); 7.5 runs

Tuesday, May 1, 2018

7:10 p.m. ET, Citi Field

TV: ATL (FSSO); NYM (SNY)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Mets as a -180 favorite. As of this writing, 73% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Mets to beat the Braves on the money line. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Braves' Newcomb surrenders three runs in six innings

Sean Newcomb surrendered three runs -- two earned -- in six innings and didn't earn a decision against the Mets on Friday. He struck out five, walked three and allowed six hits in the quality start. He was lifted after tossing 105 pitches in the contest and will need to be more efficient if he wants to rack up wins. His record holds at 1-1 with a 3.74 ERA. He has 27 strikeouts and 11 walks in 21 2/3 innings spread over four starts.

Mets' Syndergaard strong in last start vs. Cardinals

Noah Syndergaard held the Cardinals to two runs -- one earned -- in 7 1/3 innings on Thursday. Syndergaard could have gone eight scoreless today with better defense behind him. He ended up striking out seven and walking none. 76 of his 101 pitches went for strikes.

Unfortunately for "Thor," his offense didn't get him enough support and the Cardinals wound up winning the game in extra innings.

MLB Betting Trends

Atlanta

The Braves are just 4-9 in their last 13 games against the Mets but are 5-2 in their last seven games versus the rest of the National League East.

New York

The Mets have won 10 of their last 14 home games and 10 of their last 14 games versus divisional rivals.

Prediction:

All things considered, this isn't an outrageous price on the Mets given that Syndergaard is on the mound. The Mets are 5-1 in his last six starts, are 5-2 in his last seven home outings and have won 13 of his last 18 starts following a team loss in their previous game. On the other side, the Braves are just 1-5 in Newcomb's last six starts following four days of rest, are 3-8 in his last 11 outings versus National League East opponents, and are 1-7 in his last eight starts after allowing two runs or less in their previous contest.

 

The Pick: New York Mets -180

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