Mets vs. Phillies MLB Prediction

Mets vs. Phillies, 4/30/21 MLB DFS Notes & Betting Predictions

National League East rivals clash in Philadelphia on Friday night when the Phillies host the Mets at 7:05 p.m. ET. With Marcus Stroman set to oppose Chase Anderson in the pitching matchup, what’s the best bet for tonight’s game?

Game Snapshot

903 New York Mets (-150) at 904 Philadelphia Phillies (+130); o/u 8.5

7:05 p.m. ET, Friday, April 30, 2021

VENUE: Citizens Bank Stadium, Philadelphia, PA

New York Mets DFS SPIN

Dominic Smith went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts Wednesday in the loss to the Red Sox. Smith might be the game's unluckiest hitter to date this season; Statcast thinks he should have entered tonight with a .337 average and .670 slugging percentage, when he actually came in at .217 and .350, respectively. So, he seems like a great bet to bounce back offensively. Still, as limited as he is defensively in left field, it's arguable whether the Mets should be playing him when he's not tearing it up.

Philadelphia Phillies DFS SPIN

Phillies manager Joe Girardi told reporters on Thursday that Bryce Harper went through the concussion protocol. Harper was hit in the face by a fastball from Genesis Cabrera on Wednesday. He was not in the starting lineup on Thursday, and understandably so after being nailed by a fastball that was clocked at 97 miles per hour. Girardi said that Harper will be evaluated again when Philadelphia returns home on Friday.

Mets vs. Phillies Betting Prediction

The over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between these two teams and is a perfect 5-0 in the last five meetings in Philadelphia. The Over is also 14-6-1 in the Mets’ last 21 road games and is 14-4-1 in their last 19 road games versus a right-handed starter. On the other side, the over is 7-2 in the Phillies’ last nine home games and is 7-2 in their last nine divisional games.

MLB BETTING PREDICTION: METS/PHILLIES OVER 8.5

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