Phillies vs. Marlins Monday Prediction

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins, 4/30/2018 Prediction & Odds

The Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins will open a new series on Monday night in South Beach. Believe it or not, the Marlins are the team that has won two straight while the Phillies have dropped back-to-back outings.

Game Snapshot & Odds

903 Philadelphia Phillies (-150) at Miami Marlins (+130); 7.5 runs

Monday, April 30, 2018

7:10 p.m. ET, Marlins Park

TV: PHI (CSP); MIA (FSFL)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbook YouWager currently list the Phillies as a -150 favorite. As of this writing, 82% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Phillies to beat the Marlins on the money line. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Phillies' Arrieta allows three runs over seven innings in last start

Jake Arrietta allowed three runs -- one earned -- in seven innings and collected a win against the Diamondbacks on Wednesday. The Phillies made three errors behind him but Arrieta stayed poised and held it together like a veteran should. He scattered four hits and two walks while notching just two strikeouts. He walked in one run and allowed two more on a pair of sacrifice flies. He moves to 3-0 with a stellar 1.82 ERA in his first season with his new club.

Marlins set to activate Straily

Dan Straily (forearm) is expected to start Monday against the Phillies. Straily began the season on the disabled list with inflammation in his right forearm, but he made it through three rehab starts with no issues. The veteran right-hander did post a 6.92 ERA over those three outings.With Wei-Yin Chen (elbow) also returning this weekend, the Marlins have decision to make on what to do with Caleb Smith, Dillon Peters and Trevor Richards.

MLB Betting Trends

Philadelphia

The Phillies have won six of their last seven games against the Marlins and have won five of their last six game sin Miami.

Miami

The Marlins are 3-8 in their last 11 home games and have dropped seven of their last nine games coming off a win.

Prediction:

The Marlins are 4-0 in Strailey's last four home starts dating back to last season, are 5-2 in his last seven outings when pitching game one of a series, and are 6-1 in their last seven home games when facing a team with a losing road record. Meanwhile, the Phillies have dropped five of their last seven games against the National League East and are 20-55 in their last 75 road games when facing a right-handed starter.

 

The Pick: Miami Marlins +130

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