Reds vs. Twins Sunday Prediction

Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins, 4/29/2018 Prediction & Odds

After splitting the first two games of the series, the Cincinnati Reds and Minnesota Twins will play the rubber match on Sunday. Are the Twins a good bet with Jose Berrios set to toe the rubber versus Tyler Mahle of the Reds?

Game Snapshot & Odds

979 Cincinnati Reds (+165) at 980 Minnesota Twins (-190); 9 runs

Sunday, April 29, 2018

2:10 p.m. ET, Target Field

TV: CIN (FSO); MIN (FSNO)

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbook YouWager currently list the Twins as a -190 favorite. As of this writing, 79% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Twins to beat the Reds on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Reds' Mahle flirts with no hitter in 11-strikeout performance

Tyler Mahle took a no-hitter into the seventh inning and struck out a career-high 11 batters in Tuesday’s 9-7 extra-innings win over the Braves. Mahle pumped it up to 97-98 mph in the sixth inning as he looked to preserve his no-hitter. As it turns out, it appeared that he might have emptied the tank that frame.

The Braves went home run, double, home run to kick off the seventh inning to run the no-no and shutout and knock Mahle out of the game. He then lost out on a win when Raisel Iglesias blew a save. Still, the rough finish doesn’t diminish what was a dominating showing from the young right-hander. Mahle was already at nearly a strikeout per inning coming into this one even though he had a 5.14 ERA, but obviously he took it to another level Tuesday. His arrow is pointing up as he takes on the Twins in Minnesota on Sunday.

Twins' Berrios last just four plus innings

Jose Berrios lasted just four-plus frames Tuesday, giving up five runs in a loss to the Yankees. Berrios struck out seven batters, including five in the first two innings, but he tripled his season total in walks with a couple free passes and also served up a pair of home runs. The young right-hander has now posted three dominant outings and a couple clunkers this season. He’ll try to get back on the right track Sunday versus the Reds.

MLB Betting Trends

Cincinnati

The Reds have dropped four of their last five games in Minnesota and are 15-36 in their last 51 games overall.

Minnesota

The Twins are just 1-8 in their last nine games overall but have won 12 of their last 14 interleague games.

Prediction:

The Reds are just 1-4 in Mahle's last five road starts and are 6-24 in their last 30 games when facing a right-hander. The Twins, meanwhile, are 10-1 in Berrios' last 11 home starts, are 7-0 in his last seven home outings versus a team with a losing record, and are 4-1 in his last five starts coming off four days of rest.

 

The Pick: Minnesota Twins -1.5

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