Braves vs. Phillies Prediction
Following a win on the road on Saturday, will the Atlanta Braves manage to steal a series from the Philadelphia Phillies when the two meet up today at 1:35PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Sunday, April 29, 2018
1:35PM ET – Citizens Bank Park
TV: FSSO; NSP+
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at YouWager, the Phillies are favored at home today, as they are getting odds of -130 to win. Atlanta is listed with a money line of +120 to prevail, while the over/under total for the contest has been set at 8.5 runs. The public betting currently has 54% going on Atlanta as the road underdog. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Philadelphia flip flopping
The Phillies have alternated wins and losses over their last six games following a 4-1 loss to Atlanta on Saturday. They are now 16-10 overall with a 11-4 record at home. Philly is averaging 4.96 runs per game at the plate while allowing just 3.80 per game on the mound.
Vince Velasquez is getting the start for the Phillies today. He has started five games in the 2018 season and has just a 1-3 record with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Over 26 innings of work, he has seven walks with 30 strikeouts. He has suffered a loss in two appearances against Atlanta already.
Braves winning vs. Philly
The Braves are now 5-3 against Philadelphia this season following Saturday’s victory. Atlanta is 15-11 overall and 7-7 on the road. On the year, the Braves are putting up 5.48 runs per game this season while allowing 4.44 per contest.
Brandon McCarthy is starting for Atlanta this afternoon. He is making his sixth start of the season for the Braves. McCarthy is 3-0 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Over his 26.2 innings of work, McCarthy has 19 strikeouts with nine walks.
MLB Betting Trends
The Braves have won seven straight Game 3’s coming into today and they also have won 10 of their last 13 games against a winning team. The Braves have also won four of McCarthy’s five starts this year.
The Phillies are just 4-11 in Velasquez’ last 15 home starts and 8-21 in his last 29 starts overall. However, they have won seven of their last eight at home against a right-handed starter.
The Braves have been able to get the best of Velasquez a few times already this season and Atlanta seems to have some positive momentum against Philadelphia this year. I think McCarthy will be able to continue to pitch well for Atlanta as the Braves grind out another win.
The Pick: Atlanta Braves +120