Braves vs. Phillies Prediction
Which surprising NL East team will pick up a win when the Philadelphia Phillies host the Atlanta Braves in their series opener at 7:05PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Friday, April 27, 2018
7:05PM ET – Citizens Bank Park
TV: FSSO; NSP+
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at YouWager, the Phillies are favored at home today, as they are getting odds of -160 to win. Atlanta is listed with a money line of +150 to prevail, while the over/under total for the contest has been set at 7.5 runs. The public betting currently has 74% going on Philadelphia as a home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Atlanta strong vs. Philly
The Braves and Phillies have already met six times this year and Atlanta owns four wins. All of the games have been in Atlanta so far. The Braves come into this weekend series at 14-10 overall and 6-6 on the road. Atlanta is putting up 5.52 runs per game this season while allowing 4.35 per contest.
Juilo Teheran gets the start tonight. He is off to a 1-1 start through his first five starts. He has a 4.00 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP so far and has 27 strikeouts with 14 walks over 27 innings of play. In two starts against the Phillies, he has allowed five earned runs over 11.2 innings with 12 strikeouts and six walks.
Philadelphia still surprising
The Phillies are coming off a series loss at home to the Diamondbacks, but they are still off to a very promising start to the season. They are 15-9 overall with a 10-3 record at home. Philly is averaging 5.00 runs per game at the plate while allowing just 3.65 per game on the mound.
Aaron Nola is on the mound for the Phillies tonight. Nola is 2-1 through five starts with a 2.30 ERA and just a 0.93 WHIP. Nola has pitched 31.1 innings and he has 24 strikeouts and nine walks. In two starts against the Braves, Philly has lost both despite him giving up just three earned runs over 11.1 innings.
MLB Betting Trends
The Braves are just 2-5 in Teheran’s last seven road starts and Atlanta is only 4-10 in its last 14 road games against a right-handed starter.
The Phillies have won 21 of their last 28 games at home and they are 5-1 in their Nola’s last six starts at home.
Atlanta has had the edge against Philadelphia, but that was at home. I think the Phillies get the series in their favor by returning home. Nola has been very strong on the mound, he just needs some run support. I think he will get it tonight as the Phillies beat up on Teheran.
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -160