Marlins vs. Dodgers Tuesday Pick
The Miami Marlins and Los Angeles Dodgers will continue their series Tuesday night at 10:10 p.m. ET in L.A. Will the Dodgers rough up Marlins' starter Dillon Peters?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Tuesday, April 24, 2018
10:10 p.m. ET, Dodgers Stadium
TV: MIA (FSFL); LAD (SNLA)
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Public Betting Trends
Oddsmakers from online sportsbook YouWager currently list the Dodgers as a -260 favorite. As of this writing, 76% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Dodgers to beat the Marlins on the money line. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.
Marlins' Peters continues to struggle
Dillon Peters walked five and allowed four runs over 4 2/3 innings in Thursday's loss to the Brewers. Peters has oscillated good and bad starts, following up a win his last time out with Thursday's clunker.
Even in his good starts, he hasn't been dominant -- through Thursday, Peters now has a 12/11 K/BB ratio in four starts. It's tough to trust young hurlers, and that seems to be the case with the 25-year-old as well. Peters will look to improve upon his 6.98 ERA and 1.71 WHIP when the Marlins travel west to face the Dodgers on Tuesday.
Dodgers' Maeda coming off uneven start vs. Padres
Kenta Maeda won despite allowing four runs in 5 2/3 innings Wednesday against the Padres. Maeda struck out 10 tonight, but he also gave up eight hits. It's been the story of his season to date; he's fanned 24 in 14 1/3 innings, yet also surrendered 20 hits. It's not quite what his fantasy owners were hoping for, but he remains a mixed-league asset.
MLB Betting Trends
The Marlins have dropped five of their last six games when playing the second game of a series.
The Dodgers have won 16 of Maeda's last 21 home starts, are 8-3 in his last 11 outings versus a team with a losing record, and are 7-1 in his last eight home starts versus an opponent with a losing record.
This won't be pretty. I don't like laying the 1.5 runs on high favorites because there's little to no value in the odds. (Plus, even if the Dodgers win by a run, you still lose. Doesn't make much sense.) That said, if you're going to bet this one, the Dodgers should be safe minus the run and a half on the runline. Peters has struggled and as the trends above illustrate, the Dodgers have been a good bet when Maeda is on the mound.
The Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5