Padres vs. D-Backs Sunday Pick

San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks, 4/22/2018 Prediction & Odds

National League West rivals the San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks will play their rubber match on Sunday at 4:10 p.m. ET. Will the Diamondbacks pick up their 15th win of the season or are the Padres a good bet to pull off the upset?

Game Snapshot & Odds

911 San Diego Padres (+125) at 912 Arizona Diamondbacks (-145); 7 runs

Sunday, April 22, 2018

4:10 p.m. ET, Chase Field

TV: CSBA (SF); LAA (FSW)

"Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new Baseball Odds & Betting Page."

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbook YouWager currently list the Diamondbacks as a -145 favorite. As of this writing, 78% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Diamondbacks to beat the Padres on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Padres young starter Lucchesi impressive in first two outings

Joey Lucchesi struck out nine Giants over six innings Sunday, limiting them to one run in a 10-1 win. Lucchesi was as in control as his numbers suggest, giving up just five hits without issuing a walk in the outing.

The win improved him to 2-0 with a shining 1.66 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 25/4 K/BB ratio through his first 21 2/3 innings this year. If there's a silver lining to the Dinelson Lamet injury -- and there really isn't, to be clear -- it's that Lucchesi's MLB debut was pushed up as a result, and he's run with the chance.

Diamondbacks' Corbin also shuts down Giants

Patrick Corbin allowed just one hit with one walk and eight strikeouts in a complete-game shutout against the visiting Giants on Tuesday. Corbin threw exactly 100 pitches, throwing 68 of them for strikes, and he improved to 3-0 while lowering his ERA to 1.65.

Two of his past three outings have resulted in quality starts, and he has logged at least eight strikeouts in each of his first four appearances. After allowing two homers in his first start on March 29 he hasn't yielded a long ball in 21 2/3 innings in the month of April.

MLB Betting Trends

San Diego

The Padres are 4-11 in their last 15 games in Arizona.

Arizona

The Diamondbacks have won four of Corbin's last five starts and are 5-0 in his last five home outings.

Prediction:

This isn't a bad price for the Diamondbacks with Corbin on the mound. On top of the trends listed above, the Diamondbacks are also 4-1 in his last four starts coming off four days of rest, are 6-2 in his last eight outings following a quality start in his last appearance, and are 12-2 in his last 14 starts when their opponent allows five runs or more in its previous game. While Lucchesi has been great, I'll take my chances with Corbin on the mound for Arizona.

 

The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -145

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