Marlins vs. Brewers Sunday Pick

Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers, 4/22/2018 Prediction & Odds

The Milwaukee Brewers will go for a four-game sweep of the Miami Marlins on Sunday when the two teams wrap up their series at Miller Park. Two of the first three games in the series was high scoring but will the fourth matchup also go over the total?

Game Snapshot & Odds

905 Miami Marlins (+165) at 906 Milwaukee Brewers (-185); 9 runs

Sunday, April 22, 2018

2:10 p.m. ET, Miller Park

TV: MIA (FSFL); MIL (FSWI)

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Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbook YouWager currently list the Brewers as a -185 favorite. As of this writing, 80% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Brewers to beat the Marlins on the money line. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Marlins' Smith ripped by Yankees in last start

Caleb Smith was hammered for five earned runs over 2 1/3 innings Monday in a loss to the Yankees.

Smith issued five walks and gave up five hits, including an Aaron Judge home run in the bottom of the second. The 26-year-old left-hander is now 0-2 with a 6.89 ERA, 1.98 WHIP, and 22/15 K/BB ratio in 15 2/3 innings (four starts) this season. He might not be long for the Marlins' rotation.

Brewers' Guerra sharp in both starts since being called up

Junior Guerra struck out seven and allowed just one hit over 5 2/3 innings in the Brewers' shutout of the Reds on Tuesday.

Unfortunately, Guerra needed one more out for the win, as the Brewers never scored until the bottom of the sixth. Guerra would have been in the Brewers' rotation from day one this year, except he was stricken with a fourth option year that allowed Milwaukee to stash him in the minors. Fortunately, that didn't last, and he's been sharp in both starts since being called up. (Rotoworld)

MLB Betting Trends

Miami

The Marlins are 1-6 in their last seven games in Milwaukee and are 0-4 in their last four games versus the Brewers regardless of the venue.

Milwaukee

The Brewers are 5-0 in their last five home games and have won 12 of Guerra's last 16 starts after allowing five runs or more in their previous game.

Prediction:

It's difficult to sweep a team in a four-game series so I don't want to lay the wood on the Brewers, just like I don't want to back a bad Marlins team that is capable of being swept. I like the over again. Miami brought its bats to Miller Park last night and the Brewers' offense has started to heat up as well. The over is 9-2-1 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams in Milwaukee and is 41-19-3 in the last 63 meetings overall.

 

The Pick: Marlins/Brewers over 9

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