Nationals vs. Mets Tuesday Prediction

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets, 4/17/2018 Prediction & Odds

The New York Mets choked away an opportunity last night to earn their 13th win of the season. Will they rebound Tuesday night or will the Washington Nationals use their late-inning come back last night as a stepping stone to getting back on track?

Game Snapshot & Odds

953 Washington Nationals (-115) at New York Mets (+105); 7.5 runs

Tuesday, April 17, 2018

7:10 p.m. ET, Citi Field

TV: MASN (WAS); SNY (NYM)

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbook YouWager currently list the Nationals as a -120 favorite. As of this writing, 54% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Nationals to beat the Mets on the money line. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Gonzalez off to a nice start for Nationals in April

Gio Gonzalez allowed three runs -- two earned -- over five innings in Thursday's loss to the Rockies.

Gio struggled in the early going, allowing two quick runs in the first inning and another in the second, but he straightened out to toss three scoreless to finish off his outing. He gave up five hits and walked three, striking out seven, in total.

The start wasn't necessarily a bad one but relative to his first two, in which he allowed just two runs combined, it was underwhelming. He'll take a 2.20 ERA into his start Tuesday against the division-rival Mets

Wheeler earns win against Marlins in first start of season

Zack Wheeler earned a 4-1 win by allowing the Marlins just one run on two hits through seven innings on Wednesday.

He punched out seven batters against one walk in the premium outing. A solo tater by shortstop Miguel Rojas produced the only damage on the scoreboard.

It was Wheeler's first game of the season. He went 3-7 with a 5.21 ERA in 17 starts with the Mets last year. Today's gem should earn him at least one more start before the injured Jason Vargas returns from his rehab assignment.

MLB Betting Trends

Washington

The Nationals are 12-2 in Gonzalez's last 14 road starts versus the Mets and are 4-1 in his last five outings against New York overall. The Nationals are now 48-16 in their last 64 games in New York as well.

New York

The Mets are winless at 0-5 in Wheeler's last five home starts versus the Nationals and are 2-6 in his last eight outings against Washington overall.

Prediction:

Do you see the trends above? Wow. We get the better pitcher in this matchup at a reasonable price and with the Nationals' rally last night, I'll buy into the narrative that they're about to turn things around. The Mets are off to a great start and they're absolutely a contender because of their pitching. It's also reasonable to surmise that they're playing over their heads right now. I'll take the Nationals.

 

The Pick: Washington Nationals -115

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