Astros vs. Mariners Prediction
After dropping a pair of games at home this weekend, will the Houston Astros get back on track when they hit the road to face the Seattle Mariners tonight at 10:10PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Monday, April 16, 2018
10:10PM ET, Safeco Field
TV: ATSW; RTNW
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at YouWager, the Astros are favored on the road, as they are getting odds of -110 to win tonight. The Mariners have odds of +100 at home. Currently, 58% of the wagers are going on the Astros on the road today. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Astros in a slump?
Houston dropped two of three at home to the Texas Rangers this weekend and they have now lost four of their last five games. The Astros have fallen to 10-6 on the season and 4-3 on the road. Houston is now averaging 4.19 runs per game while allowing 3.06 per contest.
Dallas Keuchel is getting the start for the Astros tonight. He is 0-2 through three starts as he hasn’t been the usual ace the Astros have known. Through 15 innings of work, Keuchel has allowed seven earned runs with nine walks and 13 strikeouts. He has a 1.80 WHIP and a 4.20 ERA.
Seattle a NL West contender?
The Mariners are coming off a loss at home to the Athletics on Sunday, but they had won four straight prior to that and have started the season 8-5 overall and 4-2 at home. Seattle is putting up 4.77 runs per game while also allowing 4.77 per contest.
James Paxton is making his fourth start of the season tonight. Through three starts he is 0-1 with a 5.74 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. He has given up 10 earned runs over 15.2 innings with six walks and 21 strikeouts. He allowed six runs to Cleveland in his first start, but has allowed just two runs in each of his last two starts.
MLB Betting Trends
The Astros have won four of their last five road games against a left-handed starter and six of Keuchel’s last eight Monday starts. However, they have lost Keuchel’s last four road starts.
The Mariners are 7-2 in Paxton’s last nine starts when he has four days of rest. They are also 6-2 in his last eight starts against a winning team. Seattle has managed to win four of its last five games following a loss.
You’d think Houston would be quick to get back on track, but the hitting isn’t quite coming through as of late and Keuchel hasn’t been terribly good on the mound. He is allowing nearly two baserunners per inning. I like what Paxton has been able to do in his last two starts and I think he can lead Seattle to a home win.
The Pick: Seattle Mariners +100