Orioles vs. Red Sox Monday Prediction
The Red Sox will go for their first series victory when they wrap up a four-game series with the Orioles Monday at 11:05 a.m. ET. Will the game result in a high-scoring affair as those in Boston celebrate Patriots’ Day?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Monday, April 15, 2019
11:05 a.m. ET, Fenway Park, Boston, MA
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Public Betting Trends
According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 67% of the betting tickets are on the Red Sox to beat the Baltimore Orioles on the moneyline.
Baltimore Orioles Fantasy Spin
John Means tossed five innings of one-run ball Sunday in a loss to the Red Sox. Means fared well in what was his second career major league start, but he got out-dueled by David Price, and the O's offense generated zero runs of support. Means scattered four hits and a walk while striking out three. Up next for the 26-year-old left-hander is a start at home against the Twins.
Boston Red Sox Fantasy Spin
Xander Bogaerts finished 2-for-3 with a home run and four RBI in Sunday's win over the Orioles. Bogaerts drove in the first run of the afternoon on a sacrifice fly in the bottom of the fourth inning before belting a three-run shot off Orioles reliever Josh Lucas in the bottom of the eighth. The 26-year-old shortstop is slashing .308/.413/.519 with two home runs, eight RBI, and 10 runs scored in 15 games played to open the 2019 regular season.
MLB Betting Trends
The Orioles are 18-46 in their last 64 games overall and are 26-79 in their last 105 road games.
The Red Sox have won 43 of their last 62 divisional games and are 40-16 in their last 56 home games overall.
Over the past two days, the Red Sox couldn’t figure out Baltimore’s starter only to get to the bullpen late. That makes sense to some degree, as the Orioles have a horrendous bullpen but Boston should have done more damage against the likes of Means. That said, I’m going to roll the dice that the Red Sox jump on Dan Straily today early and often, then tack on late. While the Orioles are capable of putting runs on the board (as they showed yesterday), they also proved yesterday that they can also be incapable of doing anything offensively. Thus, I’m going to isolate the Red Sox and take their team total of over 6.5 runs. Straily owns a 4.68 ERA, which isn’t good, but his SIERA of 5.05 is worse, indicating that he’s due for even worse regression. His 18.1% strikeout rate is pedestrian, as is his 9.9% walk rate. Worse yet, he’s a flyball pitcher starting today in a hitter’s park.
The Pick: Boston Red Sox Team Total OVER 6.5 (-110)