Orioles vs. Red Sox Friday Prediction

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox, 4/12/2019 Predictions & Odds

The Boston Red Sox are just 4-9 to start the season, largely due to some horrendous pitching. Given Eduardo Rodriguez’s early-season struggles, is the over a safe play for bettors on Friday night when the Red Sox host the Orioles at 7:10 p.m. ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

967 Baltimore Orioles (+230) at 968 Boston Red Sox (-280); 10 runs

Friday, April 12, 2019

7:10 p.m. ET, Fenway Park, Boston, MA

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Public Betting Trends

According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 59% of the betting tickets are on the Red Sox to beat the Orioles on the moneyline.

Baltimore Orioles Fantasy Spin

Dwight Smith Jr. homered, doubled and walked against the A's in Thursday's loss. Smith came into this one with a .261 average but just a .581 OPS, as he had only two extra-base hits (both doubles) and one walk in 46 at-bats. So, it was good to see him do something besides collecting a single or two in this one. Smith isn't likely to ever become a quality regular, but he is decent enough to keep racking up starts for the lowly Orioles.

Boston Red Sox Fantasy Spin

Rafael Devers went 2-for-4 with a pair of RBI, including a game-winning, walk-off single in the ninth inning, to give the Red Sox a 7-6 win over the Blue Jays on Thursday. Devers knocked a run-scoring double in the three-run third inning before stepping to the dish with the bases loaded and one out in a tied game in the ninth. He proceeded to bounce what would have been a routine ground ball out toward second base, but against a drawn-in infield the ball bounded over the head of Lourdes Gurriel to plate the winning run. The 22-year-old is still looking for his first homer of the 2019 season, but he's hitting a passable .271/.352/.333 in 13 games.

MLB Betting Trends

Baltimore

The Orioles are 2-8 in their last 10 games at Fenway Park.

Boston

The Red Sox are 6-2 in Edwin Rodriguez’s last eight starts versus the Orioles.

Prediction:

Rodriguez is a talented pitcher that will likely round into form sooner rather than later. That said, Rodriguez has been bombed in the early going, much like most of the pitcher’s on Boston’s staff. He’s allowed 11 earned runs and failed to make it out of the fifth inning of both of his starts. This Baltimore lineup won’t put a scare into anyone, any offense can put up runs against poor pitching. The over is also 7-3 in David Hess’ last 10 road starts and is 5-2 in his last seven outings overall. Late Thursday night, the total for tonight’s game was sitting at 9.5. By Friday morning, it’s up to 10. Despite losing some value with this line move, I like the over tonight at Fenway.

The Pick: Orioles/Red Sox OVER 10

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