Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox, 4/12/2018 Prediction & Odds

Following two high-scoring games the last two nights at Fenway Park, will Thursday night's matchup between the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox actually fall under the total?

Game Snapshot & Odds

911 New York Yankees at 912 Boston Red Sox

Thursday, April 12, 2018

7:10 p.m. ET, Fenway Park

TV: YES (NYY); BOS (NESN)

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbook YouWager currently list the Red Sox as a -107 favorite. As of this writing, 52% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Yankees to beat the Red Sox on the money line. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Gray coming off a quality start in win over Orioles

Sonny Gray posted a quality start in last Saturday's victory over the Orioles. He allowed three runs on four hits over six innings and struck out four on the afternoon. He also walked two.

The start was an improvement off Gray's first outing of the year in which he struck out seven but lasted only four innings. Gray allowed only one run in that start but surrendered a bunch of baserunners in the process. He allowed seven hits and three walks.

Porcello has been dominant in two starts

In his first start of the season, Rick Porcello allowed just one run on six hits over 5 1/3 innings against the Rays. He also struck out four and walked one in the performance. Then in his second start of the season, Porcello pitched well against the Rays, striking out seven over 1/3 innings of three-run ball.

In that outing, the former American League Cy Young Award winner scattered just six hits and didn't walk a batter in the game. He allowed a two-run single to Brad Miller in the first inning, then shut down the Rays until newcomer Denard Span drove in a run in the eighth. Porcello is 2-0 on the season and owns a 2.84 ERA.

MLB Betting Trends

New York

The Yankees are 0-4 in Gray's last four starts coming off four days of rest and are 0-4 in his last four outings when coming off a quality start in his last appearance.

Boston

The Red Sox have been lights out when Porcello is on the mound, winning five of his last six starts and going 11-5 in his last 16 home outings versus a team with a losing record.

Prediction:

Despite the last two games sailing over the projected total, take the under in this one. In Porcello's last seven starts versus the Yankees, the under is 6-0-1. In his last six home starts versus the Bombers, the under is 5-0-1.

The under is also 5-3 in the last eight meetings in Boston and has cashed in five of the last eight meetings overall.

 

The Pick: Yankees/Red Sox under 9

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