Mariners vs. Royals Thursday Prediction

Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals, 4/11/2019 Predictions & Odds

Thanks in large part to an offense that continues to score runs in bunches, the Mariners are off to a fantastic start in 2019. Will the M’s and Royals rack up enough runs to hit the over on Thursday afternoon when they wrap up their series at 1:15 p.m. ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

917 Seattle Mariners (-148) at 918 Kansas City Royals (+120); 10 runs

Thursday, April 11, 2019

1:15 p.m. ET, Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO

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Public Betting Trends

According to our MLB Public Betting Chart page, 68% of the betting tickets are on the Mariners to beat the Royals on the moneyline.

Seattle Mariners Fantasy Spin

It's hard to glean much from 22 at-bats, but when those 22 at-bats produce four doubles and five homers, it's hard not to take notice. Dan Vogelbach has made a strong case for increased playing time going forward, and he gets the platoon advantage on Thursday in a juicy matchup against Lopez, who has allowed a .309/.385/.435 triple slash to righty batters in his brief big-league career.

Kansas City Royals Fantasy Spin

Are we experiencing an Alex Gordon resurgence? That might be a stretch, but through 10 games he's batting .313/.442/.531 with a pair of dingers and 10 RBIs. There's a good chance Gordon will keep rolling against Leake, who is volatile because he allows so much contact.

MLB Betting Trends


The Mariners are 5-1 in Mike Leake’s last six starts and are 5-1 in his last six outings versus American League Central opponents.

Kansas City

The Royals are 1-4 in Pablo Lopez’s last five starts following a team loss in their previous game.


The over is 4-0 in Lopez’s last four starts overall and is 5-0 in his last five home outings. I doubt he’s the pitcher that figures out this Seattle offense. Meanwhile, the over is 4-1 in Leake’s last five starts overall and is 5-1 in his last six outings versus the American League Central opponents. For some reason, Kauffman Stadium has played like a hitter’s park in the early going.

The Pick: Mariners/Royals over 10


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