Mets vs. Marlins Tuesday Prediction

New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins, 4/10/2018 Predictions & Odds

The New York Mets are off to one of the best starts in the National League. Will they pick up their eighth win of the season when they visit their division rivals the Miami Marlins on Tuesday night? The two teams will meet at 7:10 p.m. ET. 

Game Snapshot & Odds

905 New York Mets (-210) at 906 Miami Marlins (+170); 7.5 runs

Tuesday, April 10, 2018

7:10 p.m. ET, Marlins Park

TV: SNY (NYM); FSFL (MIA)

(Odds courtesy of online sportsbooks YouWager)

Public Betting Trends

As of this writing, 73% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Mets to beat the Marlins on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

New York Mets going for fourth straight series win

With a win on Tuesday night, the Mets will have won their fourth straight series to start the 2018 MLB season. They have won six games in a row and are currently the top dog in the National League East. They prevailed on Monday night despite playing a 12-inning game in D.C. the night before. They didn't even get into their team hotel in Miami until 5:00 a.m. in the morning.

One reason for the Mets' early-season success? They've already matched their best nine-game start in franchise history thanks in large part to a team ERA of 2.40. They also have an ERA of 1.31 for their bullpen.

They'll throw Jacob deGrom on Tuesday night. He's off to a 2-0 start and owns a 1.54 ERA.

Miami Marlins sink right away into last place in division

The Marlins already trail these same Mets by 5 1/2 games following their 4-2 loss on Monday night at home. Predictably, Miami is finding winning challenging without Giancarlo Stanton, Marcell Ozuna and Christian Yelich hitting in the middle of their lineup. Standout catcher JT Realmuto is also injured, as are third baseman Martin Prado and shortstop JT Riddle.

Caleb Smith will toe the rubber for the Marlins. He came over in a trade with the Yankees this past winter. In two starts, Smith is 0-1 with a 4.32 ERA and has had all kinds of problems with walks. He's allowed six hits and nine bases on balls in 8 1/3 innings while striking out 12.

MLB Betting Trends

New York

The Mets are 5-0 in their last five divisional games, are 7-3 in deGrom's last 10 road starts, and are 8-3 in his last 11 outings versus the rest of the National League West.

Miami

The Marlins have dropped four of their last five games and are just 2-5 in their last seven home games.

Bet Tonight's MLB Games

Prediction:

Believe it or not, I'm going to take a flier on the underdog here. It feels too easy for public bettors to cash this ticket on the Mets, who are smoking hot and are starting deGrom. And believe it or not, deGrom has not fared well against the Marlins. The Mets are 0-4 in deGrom's last four starts versus the Marlins, who are 4-1 in their last four games versus New York overall and are 7-3 in their last nine home games versus their divisional rivals as well.

 

The Pick: Miami Marlins +170

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