Reds vs. Phillies Tuesday Prediction

Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies, 4/10/2018 Predictions & Odds

The Cincinnati Reds are off to a rough start in 2018. Winning their third game of the season won't come easy for them on Tuesday night when they take on the Philadelphia Phillies at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Game Snapshot & Odds

903 Cincinnati Reds (+188) at 904 Philadelphia Phillies (-210); 7.5 runs

Tuesday, April 10, 2018

7:05 p.m. ET, Citizens Bank Park

TV: FSO (CIN); CSP (PHI)

(Odds courtesy of online sportsbooks YouWager)

Public Betting Trends

As of this writing, 69% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Phillies to beat the Reds on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.

Cincinnati Reds get some offense on Monday but still fall

Tucker Barnhardt hit a two-run home run for the Reds, who scored five runs against the Phillies on Monday night but it wasn't enough as Cincinnati fell 6-5 to the home team. The Reds had their opportunities, including in the first inning when Adam Duvall walked with the bases loaded. But Barnhart lined out to the shortstop and then Phillip Ervin and Cliff Pennington both struck out.

"It was a big opportunity and we weren't able to tack on," Reds manager Bryan Price said. "It was a chance to put up a big number and nothing really went our way after that."

The Reds will call on Homer Bailey to stop the bleeding on Tuesday night. He's off to a rough start, posting an 0-2 record with a 4.22 ERA. Bailey is 1-4 with a 3.97 ERA in 10 starts versus the Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Starting to Receive Key Contributions

In the aforementioned 6-5 victory on Monday, Scott Kingery homered for the first time in his career and Rhys Hoskins also left the yard for the Phillies. Both players took a backseat to Nick Williams, however.

Williams drove a 3-1 pitch deep into the right-center field seats off Kevin Quackenbush for his first career pinch-hit home run. Williams took a breaking ball out of the strike zone and let a fastball go with the green light on a 3-0 count.

"I had a plan and I told myself I'd stick with it," Williams said. "I took one and when he threw it again, I did some damage."

The Phillies will counter with Aaron Nola, who is 1-1 with a 3.15 ERA in three starts versus Cincinnati. He's 0-0 with a 2.61 ERA thus far in 2018.

MLB Betting Trends

Cincinnati

The Reds are 3-7 in Bailey's last 10 starts and are winless at 0-6 in his last six outings versus National League East opponents.

Philadelphia

The Phillies are 2-5 in Nola's last seven starts dating back to last year but they've won six of their last eight games at home with him on the mound.

Bet Tonight's MLB Games

Prediction:

Any chance I get to fade Homer Bailey, I usually take advantage. The Reds are 1-6 in his last seven road starts versus the Phillies and have lost seven of his last 10 outings overall versus Philadelphia. The Reds have also not fared well in Philly, losing 27 of their last 38 road games versus the Phillies. Philadelphia's moneyline odds are too expensive so I'll lay the 1.5 on the run line.

 

The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5

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