Marlins vs. Phillies Prediction

MLB Predictions: Will Phillies continue to dominate Marlins? 4/7/18

Will the Philadelphia Phillies continue to dominate the Miami Marlins when the divisional rivals meet again tonight at 6:05 p.m. ET?

Game Snapshot

(959) Miami Marlins at (960) Philadelphia Phillies

Saturday, April 7, 2018

TV: FSFL (MIA); CSP (PHI), 6:05 p.m. ET

Likely Pitching Matchup: Dillon Peters vs. Vince Velasquez

CURRENT ODDS

According to oddsmakers from online sports book YouWager, the Phillies are -149 moneyline favorites to beat the Marlins, who have +134 money line odds to pull off the upset today in Philly. The total, meanwhile, sits at 8 runs.

LINE MOVEMENT

The Phillies opened as -145 money line favorites but their odds jumped to -149, while the Marlins’ odds have climbed from +125 up to +134. As for the total, it hit the board at 8.5 but was bet down to 8.

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PUBLIC BETTING INFORMATION

As of this writing, 60% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Cubs to beat the Brewers on the money line. Meanwhile, 64% of the betting tickets are on the over.

OUR PREDICTION

This is a nice spot to roll the dice on the underdog. We still don’t know much about Peters but he was excellent in his 2018 debut, tossing six shutout innings against the Cubs. He didn’t strike out a lot of batters in the minors but one of the reasons why he’s up in the majors is because he displayed excellent control at the lower levels. Peters also does a nice job of inducing ground balls and he limited the home runs in the minors as well.

Velazquez, meanwhile, got torched for nine hits over just 2 2/3 innings against the Braves. He did have a nice spring but the Phillies have been dreadful with him on the mound. In his last 19 starts, Philadelphia is 7-19. In his last 13 home outings, the Phillies are 3-10. Finally, they’re 3-9 in their last 12 games against the rest of the National League East when Velasquez toes the rubber. I’m fading him tonight.

 

SATURDAY MLB PREDICTION: MIAMI MARLINS +134

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