Mets vs. Nationals Prediction

MLB Predictions: Will Nationals’ Gonzalez dominate Mets Again? 4/7/18

Will Gio Gonzalez dominate the New York Mets once again when the Washington Nationals look to snap their three-game losing streak on Saturday?

Game Snapshot

(951) New York Mets at (952) Washington Nationals

Saturday, April 7, 2018

TV: N/A, 1:05 p.m. ET

Likely Pitching Matchup: Steven Matz vs. Gio Gonzalez

CURRENT ODDS

According to oddsmakers from online sports book YouWager, the Nationals are -155 money line favorites to beat the Mets, who have +143 money line odds to pull off the upset on the road today. The total, meanwhile, sits at 8 runs.

LINE MOVEMENT

The Nationals opened as -160 money line favorites but despite receiving most of the money line tickets (more on that below), their odds dropped to -155. As for the Mets, their odds climbed from +135 up to +143 at the majority of online sportsbooks. The total also moved, hitting the board at 8.5 but dropping to 8.

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PUBLIC BETTING INFORMATION

As of this writing, 71% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Nationals to beat the Mets on the money line. Meanwhile, 52% of the betting tickets are on the under.

OUR PREDICTION

Since being traded to Washington before the 2012 season, Gonzalez has owned the Mets on the money line. He has posted a 16-6 record over that time span versus New York, which is his most profitable ML opponent. Gonzalez is also coming off an excellent 2018 debut, allowing just one run while striking out seven and walking just one batter versus the Reds. Yes, they are somewhat expensive but I love the Nats in this spot. They’re 16-5 in Gonzalez’s last six home starts versus the Mets, are 5-2 in his last seven outings against divisional opponents, and are 9-4 in his last 13 outings when facing an opponent with a winning record. The Mets, meanwhile, are winless in Matz’s last five road starts dating back to last year, are 1-10 in his last 11 starts versus an opponent with a winning record, and are 7-21 in his last 28 outings overall.

 

SATURDAY MLB PREDICTION: WASHINGTON NATIONALS -155

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