Braves vs. Rockies Prediction

MLB Predictions: Should Bettors Target Over in Braves vs. Rockies? 4/7/18

After the two teams combined for over 10 runs yesterday, should bettors target the over again when the Atlanta Braves and Colorado Rockies meet at 8:10 p.m. ET in Denver?

Game Snapshot

(963) Atlanta Braves at (964) Colorado Rockies

Saturday, April 7, 2018

TV: FSSO (ATL); ATTR (COL), 8:10 p.m. ET

Likely Pitching Matchup: Sean Newcomb vs. Chad Bettis

CURRENT ODDS

According to oddsmakers from online sports book YouWager, the Rockies are -141 moneyline favorites to beat the Braves, who have +127 money line odds to pull off the upset tonight in Denver. The total, meanwhile, sits at 8 runs.

LINE MOVEMENT

The Rockies opened as -155 money line favorites but their odds dropped to -141, while the Braves’ odds have dropped from +135 down to +127. As for the total, it hit the board at 11.5 but was dropped to 11.

Bet Tonight's MLB Games

PUBLIC BETTING INFORMATION

As of this writing, 64% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Rockies to beat the Braves on the money line. Meanwhile, 59% of the betting tickets are on the over.

OUR PREDICTION

I whiffed on the under badly yesterday. I figured I was in trouble when the Braves hung four runs on the board early and then kept tacking on from there. I’m going the other way tonight, as I’m expecting another high-scoring meeting between these two teams. The total has gone over in five of Bill Welke’s last seven games behind home plate. Welke has been a great ‘over’ umpire for bettors, as he finished last season with a 19-12 over/under record and is a combined 55-30 o/u record from 2015-2017.

If you don’t like factoring umpires into your handicapping, then how about this: Anibal Sanchez...pitching at Coors. He allowed 26 home runs last season in 105 1/3 innings and he should have a few dingers in his arm again tonight. Nolan Arenado, Charlie Blackmon and Carlos Gonzalez are all problematic for Sanchez tonight, while Ozzie Albies, Freddie Freeman and Preston Tucker should do enough damage against Bettis to contribute to the cashing the over for bettors.

 

SATURDAY MLB PREDICTION: BRAVES/ROCKIES OVER 11

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