Braves vs. Rockies Prediction

MLB Predictions: Braves vs. Rockies Betting Total Set Too High? 4/6/18

Is the betting total for Friday's matinee between the Atlanta Braves and Colorado Rockies set too high? The two teams will meet at Coors Field at 4:10 p.m. ET.

Game Snapshot

(901) Atlanta Braves at (902) Colorado Rockies

Friday, April 6, 2018

TV: N/A, 4:10 p.m. ET

Likely Pitching Matchup: Brandon McCarthy vs. German Marquez

CURRENT ODDS

According to oddsmakers from online sports book YouWager, the Rockies are -146 money line favorites to beat the Braves, who have odds of +132 to pull off the upset in Colorado. As for the total, the number sits at 10 runs, with the over carrying odds of +100 and the under listed at -120.

LINE MOVEMENT

The Rockies opened as -140 money line favorites but their odds have climbed to -146, while the Braves' odds have shifted from +120 up to +132. The total has also moved off its original number, dropping from  11 down to 10 at the majority of online sportsbooks.

Bet Tonight's MLB Games

PUBLIC BETTING INFORMATION

As of this writing, 68% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Rockies to beat the Braves on the moneyline. Meanwhile, 55% of the betting tickets are on the under.

OUR PREDICTION:

I love the under in this spot. For starters, the majority of the money wagered on the total is on the under, which could help explain why the total dropped a full run at the betting window. The other reason to love the under? The wind is blowing in, the temperatures in Denver are under 40 degrees, and there's a chance for light snow. All of this is fine for a Broncos-Falcons game in November but we're talking Rockies-Braves in early April. The under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings between these two teams.

 

FRIDAY MLB PREDICTION: BRAVES/ROCKIES UNDER 10

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