Padres vs. Astros Prediction

MLB Predictions: Betting Total Set Too Low in Padres vs. Astros? 4/6/18

Is the betting total for tonight's San Diego Padres and Houston Astros matchup set too low? The two teams will square off at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Game Snapshot

(917) San Diego Padres at (918) Houston Astros

Friday, April 6, 2018

TV: N/A, 8:10 p.m. ET

Likely Pitching Matchup: Luis Perdomo vs. Lance McCullers Jr.

CURRENT ODDS

According to oddsmakers from online sports book YouWager, the Astros are -290 money line favorites to beat the Padres, who have odds of +255 to pull off the upset in Houston As for the total, the number sits at 8.5 runs, with the over carrying odds of +100 and the under listed at -120.

LINE MOVEMENT

The Astros opened as -280 money line favorites but their odds climbed to -290, while the Padres' line jumped from +230 to +255. As for the total, it hit the board at 8.5 and that's where it currently sits at the majority of online sportsbooks.

Bet Tonight's MLB Games

PUBLIC BETTING INFORMATION

As of this writing, 82% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Astros to beat the Padres on the moneyline. Meanwhile, 55% of the betting tickets are on the under.

OUR PREDICTION:

The Padres can't hit, which is one of the reasons why the under is catching odds of -120 but I still see value in the over. Perdomo struck out seven in his debut last Saturday but he also allowed five runs on seven hits and surrendered four walks in four ineffective innings. The over is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams, is 9-2-1 in McCullers Jr.'s last 12 starts dating back to last year, and is 5-2 in Perdomo's last seven road starts.

 

FRIDAY MLB PREDICTION: PADRES/ASTROS OVER 8.5

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