Rockies vs. Padres Prediction

MLB Predictions: Should Bettors Fade Padres & Take Rockies? 4/4/18

Even though the San Diego Padres picked up their first win of the season last night, should bettors fade them tonight when they host the Colorado Rockies at 10:10 p.m. ET?

Game Snapshot

(909) Colorado Rockies at (910) San Diego Padres

Wednesday, April 4, 2018

TV: FS1, 9:10 p.m. ET

Likely Pitching Matchup: Jon Gray vs. Clayton Richard

CURRENT ODDS

According to oddsmakers from online sports book YouWager, the Rockies are -126 money line favorites to beat the Padres, who have +114 money line odds to pull off the upset tonight. The total sits at 7.5 runs.

LINE MOVEMENT

The Rockies’ line opened at -128 but has dropped to -126, while the Padres’ odds have jumped from +108 up to +114. The total, meanwhile, sits at 7.5 runs after hitting the board at that same number.

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PUBLIC BETTING INFORMATION

As of this writing, 74% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Rockies to beat the Padres on the money line. Meanwhile, 58% of the betting tickets are on the over.

OUR PREDICTION

I’m fading the Padres off their win last night. They’re 1-7 in Richard’s last eight starts during the third game of a series, are 4-9 in his last 13 outings coming off five days of rest, and are 1-4 in his last five starts versus an opponent with a losing record. San Diego, meanwhile, is 2-10 in its last 12 games overall, regardless of who toes the rubber. The Padres are also 1-5 in their last six home games, are 2-7 in their last nine divisional games dating back to last year, and are winless at 0-4 in their last four games coming off a victory. On the other side, the Rockies are 5-2 in Gray’s last seven starts during the third game of a series and are 6-1 in his last seven starts on Wednesday.

 

TUESDAY MLB PREDICTION: COLORADO ROCKIES -126

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