Cubs vs. Reds Prediction

MLB Predictions: Will Tyler Chatwood lead Cubs to win vs. Reds? 4/2/18

Will Tyler Chatwood lead the Cubs to a win over the Reds in his Chicago debut today in Cincinnati? Or will the Cubs' feast or famine offense struggle against the Reds' inexperienced starter?

Game Snapshot

(903) Chicago Cubs at (904) Cincinnati Reds

Monday, April 2, 2018

TV: N/A, 4:10 p.m. ET

Likely Pitching Matchup: Tyler Chatwood vs. Tyler Mahle

CURRENT ODDS

According to oddsmakers from online sports book YouWager, the Cubs are -140 money line favorites to beat the Reds, who have odds of +126 to pull off the upset today at home. As for the total, it currently sits at 8.5 runs.

LINE MOVEMENT

The Cubs opened as -140 money line favorites and that's where their line currently sits, while the Reds have jumped to +120 to +126 to pull off the upset. The total has also moved, dropping from 9 down to 8.5.

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PUBLIC BETTING INFORMATION

As of this writing, 71% of betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Cubs to beat the Reds on the money line. Meanwhile, 68% of the betting tickets are on the over.

OUR PREDICTION

The Cubs are reasonably-priced favorite today, most likely because a) they're playing on the road versus a divisional foe and b) Chatwood's numbers weren't good a year ago. That said, Chatwood's numbers were inflated because of pitching at Coors Field. He posted a 3.49 ERA on the road and held hitters in check. Even though the Great American Ballpark is also a hitter-friendly yard, Chatwood usually does a great job keeping the ball on the ground while limiting hard contact. I'm choosing to back him over Mahle, who will be making just his fifth career major league start. He has struggled with his command, which isn't a good sign versus Kris Bryant and Co.

 

MONDAY MLB PREDICTION: CHICAGO CUBS -140

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