Orioles vs. Blue Jays Prediction
The Orioles were the biggest surprise on opening weekend, as they took two of three in the Bronx against the mighty Yankees. That said, will their bats turn cold in Toronto when they open a new series with the Blue Jays at 7:07 p.m. ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
917 Baltimore Orioles (+155) at 918 Toronto Blue Jays (-175); 9 runs
Monday, April 1, 2019
7:07 p.m. ET, Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Blue Jays are -175 favorites while the Orioles are a +155 money line underdog. As of this writing, 61% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Blue Jays to beat the Orioles on the moneyline. The total for this game sits at 7.5 runs.
This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.
Baltimore Orioles Fantasy Spin
Renato Nunez went 2-for-4 with a three-run homer and a pair of runs scored in the Orioles’ 7-5 win over the Yankees on Sunday. The Orioles wasted no time getting on the board after a three-hour and 17-minute rain-delayed start, when Nunez clobbered a three-run homer off Yankees’ starter J.A. Happ in the first inning. He also singled in the third and also drew a leadoff walk and came around to score a run in the eighth. The multi-hit effort raises his early season triple-slash line to .222/.300/.556 through three games. The 24-year-old third baseman hit .275/.336/.445 with seven round-tripper’s in 220 plate appearances as a rookie in Baltimore after being waived by Oakland last May. He’s worthy of a speculative pickup in deeper mixed leagues and NL-Only formats as a corner infield option and should be locked into an everyday role on a rebuilding Orioles squad moving forward.
Toronto Blue Jays Fantasy Spin
Rowdy Tellez crushed a game-tying, pinch-hit, three-run homer — his first long-ball of the season — in the Blue Jays’ loss to the Tigers in extra-innings on Sunday. Tellez came off the bench to launch a towering 395-foot blast to center field off Tigers’ reliever Joe Jimenez in the eighth inning. The 24-year-old slugger made some noise in his brief major-league debut, crushing 13 extra-base hits in just 73 plate appearances last year. With veteran Kendrys Morales jettisoned to Oakland last week, there should be plenty of opportunities for him as the Jays’ designated hitter this season. He doesn’t offer any speed, and could be a liability in the batting average department if his BABIP regresses towards league-average, but he possesses plenty of power potential and is worthy of a speculative pickup in deeper mixed leagues.
MLB Betting Trends
Baltimore
The Orioles are just 1-11 in David Hess’ last 12 road starts and are 2-14 in his last 16 outings overall.
Toronto
The Blue Jays are 8-25 in their last 33 games versus an opponent with a win percentage above .600.
Prediction:
Even though the Orioles cashed two big tickets as an underdog over the weekend in New York, I don’t like the moneyline odds for either team. The total, however, does offer some value. The under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings between these two teams in Toronto and is 34-16-1 in the last 51 meetings overall. The under is also 5-2 in the Orioles’ last seven games dating back to last season and is 7-3 in Hess’ last 10 outings versus a divisional opponent. Finally, the under is a perfect 9-0 in the Blue Jays’ last nine home games.
The Pick: Orioles/Blue Jays under 9