Astros vs. Tigers Prediction
Will the Tigers pull off the upset when they host the Astros this afternoon at 1:10PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Astros are -160 money line favorites versus the Tigers, who have odds of +145 to pull off the upset at home today. With Dallas Keuchel squaring off against Mike Pelfrey in the pitching matchup, the over/under currently sits at 9 runs.
HOUSTON: The Astros are 6-1 in Keuchel's last seven starts versus the American League Central and have won 17 of his last 21 starts coming off five days of rest. They're also 5-2 in his last seven starts overall and 26-10 in his last 36 outings following a team loss in their previous game, but are just 3-7 in his last 10 starts versus a team with a winning record.
DETROIT: The Tigers have won five of Pelfrey's last six home starts and are 4-1 in his last five home starts versus a team with a winning record. They're also 5-2 in his last seven outings overall, are 5-2 in his last seven starts versus a team with a winning record but are just 1-4 in his last five starts versus American League West teams.
OUR PICK: Take Detroit. The Astros have now lost 12 of 16 in Detroit and are 1-4 in their last five games versus opponents from the American League Central. The Tigers have also won 22 of 32 at home, are 15-3 in their last 18 games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, and are 7-2 in their last nine home games when facing a left-handed starter.
SUNDAY MLB FREE PICK: DETROIT TIGERS +145