Marlins vs. Nationals Free Pick
The Marlins have won six of 10 but can they upset the Nationals when the division rivals clash at 7:05PM ET tonight?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Nationals are -175 money line favorites versus the Marlins, who have odds of +155 to pull off the upset. As for the total, the number currently sits at 8 runs with Tom Koehler set to face Gio Gonzalez in the pitching matchup.
The Nationals have been profitable for bettors when playing at home, winning 10 of their last 14 games in Washington. They’re also 38-17 in their last 55 games following an off day, 9-4 in their last 13 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game, and 10-4 in their last 14 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600.
As for the Marlins, they’ve lost seven of 10 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous contest and are 2-5 in their last seven games following an off day. They’re also 3-8 in their last 11 games versus National League East opponents and are 2-6 in Koehler’s last eight outings following a quality start in their last appearance.
OUR PICK: The Nationals are 9-1 in Gonzalez’s last 10 home starts versus a team with a winning record and 21-10 in his last 31 home starts. They’re also 16-7 in Gonzalez’s last 23 starts when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game and 4-0 in his last four home starts versus Miami. The marlins, meanwhile, are 2-5 in their last seven games versus Gonzalez and 8-23 in their last 31 games in Washington. They’re also 1-4 in Koehler’s last five starts versus the Nationals and are winless at 0-4 in their last four road starts against Washington.
FRIDAY MLB FREE PICK: WASHINGTON NATIONALS -1.5 (-135)