Pirates vs. Reds MLB Prediction
Will tonight's tilt between NL Central rivals the Pirates and Reds be high-scoring? Read on for our prediction.
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Pirates are -145 money line favorites over the Reds, who have odds of +125 to pull off the upset at home. With Juan Nicasio set to face Alfredo Simon in the pitching matchup, the over/under is sitting at 8.5 runs.
The over is 5-1 in the Pirates' last six games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and 5-1 in their last six road games versus a team with a losing record. The over is also 6-2 in the Pirates' last eight divisional games, 11-4 in their last 15 road games, and 19-7 in their last 26 games overall.
On the other side, the over is 8-2-1 in the Reds' last 11 home games versus a right-handed starter, is 4-1 in their last five games versus a right-handed starter overall, and is 9-3-1 in their last 13 home games period. The over is 5-2-1 in Cincinnati's last eight home games versus a team with a winning record as well.
With Simon on the mound, the over is 3-0-1 in his last four home starts, 5-1-1 in his last seven starts overall, and 4-1 in his last five starts coming off five days of rest. The over is also 4-1-1 in Simon's last six starts versus a team with a winning record.
WEDNESDAY MLB FREE PICK: PIRATES/REDS OVER 8.5