NFL Wild Card Betting Trends
LAS VEGAS, NV (The Spread) - When handicapping football games, you can look at look various injury reports, logs and stories before making your final decision on a selection.
But one thing bettors are remiss in taking into account are trends. So with the 2013-14 NFL Playoffs here, let's take a look at some of the strongest trends out there for each matchup.
Saturday, Jan. 4
Kansas at Indianapolis:
Kansas City has not exactly been a stalwart in the playoffs. They were last in the playoffs in 2010 and lost at home to Baltimore, 30-7, as a 3-point underdog. Indianapolis lost to Baltimore, 24-7 on the road last year, getting seven on the road. The last time Peyton Manning was starting at quarterback for the Colts was 2010, when they lost at home to the New York Jets, 17-16, giving 2.5. These teams met on Dec. 22 from Lucas Oil Stadium and the Colts won with easy, 23-7, giving 7.5. Here are some major trends in this game:
Kansas City is:
1-9 ATS in playoff games.
7-1 ATS last 8 road games.
2-6 ATS last 8 Saturday games.
3-10 ATS last 13 in this series.
The under is 1-5 last 6 in this series.
The road team is 4-1 ATS last 5 in series.
2-5 ATS last 7 playoff games.
0-4 ATS last 4 in January.
12-2 ATS last 14 after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
New Orleans at Philadelphia:
The Saints won the Super Bowl in 2009, but since then, they lost to Seattle in 2010 on the road, lost to San Francisco in the divisional round in 2011 and did not make the playoffs last year. Philadelphia has never won a Super Bowl and last made the playoffs in 2010, when they fell at home to Green Bay, 21-16, giving 2.5 at home. Here are some major trends for this game.
New Orleans is:
15-5 ATS on the road after allowing 17 points or less in 2 games.
2-6 ATS last 7 Saturday games.
0-6 ATS last 6 road games.
4-11 ATS last 15 in January.
The Over is 20-7 last 27 games following a SU win or more than 14 points.
6-20-1 ATS last 27 home games.
1-5 ATS last 6 in January.
The under is 0-6-1 last 7 playoff home games.
Sunday, Jan. 5
San Diego at Cincinnati:
San Diego last made the playoffs in 2009 and lost at home to the New York Jets in the AFC semi-finals as a 7-point favorite, 17-14. Cincinnati has not won a playoff game since 1990 but they have made the playoffs three of last four years. Last season, they lost to Houston on the road, 19-13, getting 4.5. The Bengals also beat the Chargers, 17-10 on Dec. 1, giving 2.5 on the road. Here are the strongest trends for this matchup:
San Diego is:
2-11 ATS off 1 or more straight overs.
6-2 ATS last 8 following an ATS loss.
3-9-1 ATS last 13 following a SU win.
Road team is 6-1 ATS last 7 in this series.
6-0 ATS at home against conference opponents.
4-0 ATS last 4 in this series.
11-1 ATS last 12 home games.
1-7 ATS last 8 in January.
0-4 ATS last 4 playoff games.
The under is 19-6-1 last 26 following a SU win of more than 14 points.
San Francisco at Green Bay:
These two teams met on Sept. 8, with San Francisco winning at home, 34-28, giving 5. They also met on Jan. 12 in the NFC semi-finals with San Francisco winning 45-31, giving 3. San Francisco has won three straight matchups in this series. Green Bay won the Super Bowl in 2010 and has made the playoffs in four straight seasons. The 49ers have made the playoffs in two straight years. Here are the key trends for this matchup:
San Francisco is:
7-0 ATS last 7 road games.
6-2 ATS last 8 in January.
8-1 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less.
10-4 ATS last 14 vs. NFC.
The Over is 6-2 last 8 matchups from Green Bay.
Green Bay is:
5-2 ATS last 7 playoff games.
1-5 ATS after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games.
2-6 ATS last 8 vs. NFC.
0-5 ATS last 5 home games.
2-7 ATS last 9 overall.
The Over is 7-3 last 10 playoff games.
Good luck in the playoffs and use these trends wisely.