NFL

Week 13

Trend Report

Chicago vs Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

NY Giants vs Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Giants's last 12 games
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants

Miami vs Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Green Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Las Vegas vs Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Las Vegas's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games

Arizona vs Minnesota
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

LA Chargers vs Atlanta
LA Chargers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Chargers's last 10 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers

Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games

Houston vs Jacksonville
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
Houston is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing Houston

Indianapolis vs New England
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 7 games
New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

Seattle vs NY Jets
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing Seattle

Tennessee vs Washington
Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Tennessee

LA Rams vs New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Rams's last 8 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Rams's last 10 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams

Tampa Bay vs Carolina
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Carolina
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games at home

Philadelphia vs Baltimore
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 8 games
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

San Francisco vs Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 10 games on the road
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Cleveland vs Denver
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Cleveland's last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

NFL Dunkel Week 13

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 13

Thursday’s games
Bears @ Lions (-10)
Bears (4-7)
Bears lost last five games, three of then by 3 or fewer points.
Bears fired their offensive coordinator two weeks ago.
Chicago is 15-33 on third down since then, an improvement.
Last four games, Bears were outscored 43-26 in second half.
Team total: under 6-4-1
Opponents’ team total: under 8-3

Under Eberflus, Bears are 7-13-1 ATS on road underdog.
Chicago is 3-6 ATS in last nine NFC North road games.
Under Eberflus, Chicago is 12-14-2 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Last four games, Bears are 0-4 despite being +4 in turnovers.
Chicago is 0-6 if they score less than 24 points.

Lions (10-1)
Detroit won its last nine games (8-1 ATS).
However, Lions have lost the last seven years on Thanksgiving Day.
Last five games, Lions outscored opponents 77-11 in 2nd half. 
Detroit is 4-1 SU/ATS at home this season.
Opponents have converted only 24 of last 83 third down plays.
Team total: over 5-3 last eight
Opponents’ team total: under 8-3

Under Campbell, Lions are 13-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Campbell, Detroit is 7-2 ATS in last nine NFC North home games.
Under Campbell, Detroit is 21-9 ATS in games coming off a win.
Lions have outscored opponents 47-16 in last 2:00 of each half.
QB Goff is 80-55-1 as an NFL starter, 36-25-1 with Detroit.
Last two games, Lions didn’t allow a TD, on 18 drives.

Lions won three of last four meetings.
Bears are 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in last six visits to Detroit. 
Under is 4-2 in last six series games.

Giants @ Cowboys (-10.5)
Giants (2-9)
Giants have QB issues; check status whether DeVito/Lock starts.
Giants are 0-6 SU/ATS in last six starts.
Giants are 2-3 SU/ATS on road, losing by 3-8-3 points.
Giants haven’t had a positive turnover ratio in any games TY.
Team total: under 7-4
Opponents’ team total: over 5-0 last five

Last six games, Giants were outscored 84-19 in first half.
Under Daboll, Giants are 11-8 ATS as a road underdog
Under Daboll, Giants are 14-11-1 ATS coming off a loss.
QB DeVito is 3-4 as an NFL starter; Lock is 9-14.
Under is 8-3 in their games this season.
Three of Giants nine losses were by more than 10 points.

Cowboys (3-7)
Dallas snapped 5-game skid with win at Washington LW.
Cowboys are 1-7 when they allow more than 17 points.
Last six games, Cowboys gave up 22 TD’s on 67 drives.
Dallas is 21-16 ATS in last 37 games coming off a win.
Team total: under 6-2 last eight
Opponents’ team total: over 5-1 last six

2nd straight short week for Cowboys; third game in 12 days.
Dallas is 0-5 SU/ATS at home this season.
Backup QB Rush is 6-3 as an NFL starter (most starts, 2022).
Cowboys converted 10 of last 40 third down plays.
Over is 4-1 in Dallas home games.
Dallas was held under 100 RY in eight of last ten games.

Cowboys (-5.5) won 20-15 in New Jersey in Week 4.
Cowboys are 8-0 SU/6-2 ATS in last eight against the Giants.
Giants are 0-7 SU/2-5 ATS in last seven visits to Dallas.
Over is 5-0 in Giants’ last five visits to Dallas. 

Dolphins @ Packers (-3.5)
Dolphins (5-6)
Dolphins won last three games, giving up 15-19-15 points.
Miami is 0-5 when it gives up 20+ points, 5-1 if they allow less.
Miami is 33-60 on 3rd down last five games, with Tagovailoa back at QB.
Tagovailoa is 36-23 as an NFL starter.
Team total: under 6-4-1
Opponents’ team total: over 3-2 last five

Under McDaniel, Miami is 6-7 ATS as a road underdog (2-2 TY).
Last six weeks, Dolphins outscored foes 77-25 in 1st half, but went 3-3.
Dolphins are 28-19 ATS in last 47 games coming off a win.
Miami is 2-3 ATS TY in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
AFC East dogs are 5-8 ATS in non-division games away from home.

Packers (8-3)
Packers won six of last seven games (1-4 ATS in last five).
Green Bay is 4-2 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Green Bay outscored last eight foes 128-58 in second half.
Team total: under 3-2 last five
Opponents’ team total: under 8-2 last ten

GB is 7-9 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite.
Packers are 20-15-1 ATS in last 36 games coming off a win.
Green Bay is 7-0 when they allow less than 24 points.
Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Green Bay is 6-8 ATS in last 14 games vs AFC opponents.
Last six games, Packers were outscored 54-9 in last 2:00 of half.

Dolphins playing in Green Bay in late November could be dicey.
Packers won three in row, five of last six series games.
Dolphins lost two of last three visits to Green Bay.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.

Friday’s game
Raiders @ Chiefs (-10.5)
Raiders (2-9)
QB Minshew is OFY; O’Connell/Ridder are QB’s now.
Raiders are 0-7 SU/2-5 ATS in last seven games
Raiders have 22 turnovers in 11 games (minus-17). 
Raiders are 5-2 ATS last seven AFC West home games. 
Team total: over 7-4
Opponents’ team total: over 8-3

Raiders are 2-4 ATS this season as a road underdog.
In 4 of last 7 games, Raiders gave up 20+ points, just in 2nd half.
QB O’Connell is 5-7 as an NFL starter, Ridder 8-9.
Over is 8-2 in their last ten games.
Last eight games, Raiders averaged 5.8 or fewer yards/pass attempt.
Las Vegas is 17-22-1 ATS in last 39 games coming off a loss.
Raiders are 9-8 ATS in last 17 AFC West road games.

Chiefs (10-1)
Chiefs are 10-1, but they’re 0-5 ATS last five games.
Kansas City has only one win this year by more than 10 points.
Chiefs are 11-20 ATS in last 31 games coming off a win.
Chiefs ran for 165 yards LW, their 2nd-best yardage this year.
Team total: over 5-2 last seven
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1 last five

Chiefs are 16-20 ATS in last 36 games as a home favorite.
QB Mahomes is 100-26 as an NFL starter.
Chiefs are 4-9 ATS last 13 AFC West home games.
Chiefs have only two takeaways in last five games (minus-2).
Chiefs are 8-0 in games decided by 7 or less points.
Four of Chiefs’ last five games went over the total.

Chiefs (-8) won 27-20 in Las Vegas in Week 8
Chiefs won 16 of last 19 series games.
Raiders are 2-7 SU/4-5 ATS in last nine visits to Arrowhead. 
Over is 7-2 in last nine meetings.

NFL Weather Report Thursday, November 28

NFL Weather Report Sunday, December 1

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Sunday’s games
Colts (-2.5) @ Patriots
Colts (5-7)
Indy lost 4 of last 5 games, are 1-3 ATS in last four games,
Colts are 2-6 giving up 20+ points.
Colts have played ten games (5-5) decided by 8 or fewer points.
Team total: under 6-4-2
Opponents’ team total: under 5-2 last seven

QB Richardson (6-6 as NFL starter) is back as the starter.
Colts are 8-5 ATS last 14 games as a road favorite.
Indy is 8-5 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.
Colts are 2-4 SU on road, with wins by 1-3 points.
Under is 4-2 in Colts road games.
AFC South road teams are 7-11 ATS in non-divisional games.

Patriots (3-9)
Patriots lost three of their last four games, are 1-3-1 ATS on road.
Last five games, New England outscored foes 65-36 in 2nd half.
Patriots are 1-9 when they allow more than 10 points.
Team total: under 6-4-1
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2 last five

NE is 10-22-1 ATS in last 33 games as an underdog.
Patriots are 32-48 since Tom Brady left town.
Patriots are 6-14 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
Rookie QB Maye is 2-5 as an NFL starter.
Over is 4-1 in their home games.
AFC East home teams are 5-8-1 ATS in non-divisional games.

New England won seven of last nine meetings.
Colts are 1-5 SU/3-3 ATS in last six visits to Foxboro.
Under is 3-0 in last three series games.

Steelers @ Bengals (-3)
Steelers (8-3)
Steelers won/covered five of their last six games.
Pittsburgh’s last three games were decided by total of 8 points.
Steelers are 10-5 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog.
Team total: over 4-2 last six
Opponents’ team total: under 7-4

Steelers are 7-3 in its last 10 games coming off a loss.
Pittsburgh is 8-5 ATS in last 13 AFC North road games.
Last seven games, Steelers are +11 in turnovers.
Last six games, Pittsburgh outscored opponents 100-48 in 2nd half.
Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.
Steelers are 19-7-1 ATS in last 27 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Last two games, Steelers have only two TD’s on 22 drives.

Bengals (4-7)
Bengals gave up 34+ points in their last five losses.
Bengals are 4-1 if they allow 24 or fewer points, 0-6 if they allow more than 24.
Over is 8-2 in their last ten games.
Team total: over 7-4
Opponents’ team total: over 7-3-1

Bengals are 1-3 ATS as a home favorite TY.
Since 2022, Bengals are 10-6-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Cincinnati is 9-7 ATS in last 16 AFC North home games.
Bengals are 4-8-1 ATS in last 13 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Cincinnati is 0-6 SU in games decided by fewer than 7 points.
QB Burrow is 38-31-1 as an NFL starter.
Bengals won/covered their last three post-bye games.

Pittsburgh won three in row, 12 of last 16 series games.
Steelers are 8-2 SU/6-4 ATS in last 10 visits to Cincinnati.
Over is 5-3 in last eight meetings.

Chargers (-1) @ Falcons
Chargers (7-4)
Chargers won/covered four of last five games.
LA is 2-4 scoring 23 or fewer points, 5-0 scoring 24+.
Last eight games, Chargers outscored foes 145-56 in 1st half.
Team total: over 7-4
Opponents’ team total: under 6-4-1

Chargers are 8-4-2 ATS last 14 games as road favorites.
Bolts are 11-8-2 ATS last 21 games vs NFC opponents.
Chargers are 18-26-2 ATS in last 46 games coming off a loss.
QB Herbert is 37-37 as an NFL starter.
Over is 3-0 in their last three games.
Chargers are 5-13 ATS in last 18 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
AFC West road teams are 10-7 ATS in non-divisional games.

Falcons (6-5)
Atlanta lost its last two games SU, scoring 2 TD’s on 19 drives.
Falcons were held to 17 or fewer points in all five losses.
Four of Falcons’ last five games stayed under the total.
Team total: under 4-1 last five
Opponents’ team total: over 5-2-1 last eight

Atlanta is 3-3 SU/2-4 ATS at home this season.
Falcons are 6-16-1 ATS in last 23 games as a home favorite.
Falcons are 10-3 ATS last 13 post-bye games.
Falcons are 7-15 ATS last 22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
QB Cousins is 82-76-2 as an NFL starter.
Falcons are 3-9 ATS in last 12 games vs AFC teams.
NFC South home teams are 6-9 ATS in non-divisional games.

Chargers won last three series games, by 3-3-3 points.
Underdogs are 4-0-1 ATS in last five meetings (one pick ‘em)
Under is 5-1 in last six series games.

Seahawks (-1) @ Jets
Seahawks (6-5)
Seahawks are 2-0 since their bye, giving up 17-6 points.
Seattle allowed 26+ points in losses, 20 or less in wins.
Seahawks are 1-5-3 ATS last nine games vs AFC opponents.
Team total: over 7-4
Opponents’ team total: over 7-4

QB Smith is 36-42 as an NFL starter, 24-23 with Seattle.
Seahawks are 9-10-1 in last 20 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Seattle was held under 300 TY in three of last four games.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
Seattle is 3-1 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.

Jets (3-8)
Jets are 1-7 SU/ATS in last eight games.
Jets are 3-1 if they allow 17 or less points, 0-7 if they allow 23+.
Jets are 0-6 scoring less than 21 points.
Team total: under 6-2 last eight
Opponents’ team total: over 6-1 last seven

Jets are 9-14 ATS last 23 games as a home underdog.
Jets are 1-6 ATS last seven post-bye games.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
Jets are 1-5 SU/ATS since their coaching change.
Last three games, Jets averaged only 251 yards/game.
AFC East home teams are 5-8-1 ATS in non-divisional games.

Seattle won/covered last five series games.
Teams split their last two meetings in New Jersey.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.

Texans (-3.5) @ Jaguars
Texans (7-5)
Houston is 2-4 in last six games, after a 5-1 start.
Texans have five wins by 6 or fewer points.
Last seven games, Texans are 3-4, despite being +12 in turnovers.
Houston is 2-5 when it gives up more than 20 points.
Team total: under 7-5
Opponents’ team total: under 5-2-1 last eight

Texans are 2-5 if they allow 21+ points.
Texans are 4-6 ATS last 10 games as a road favorite.
Houston is 7-4 ATS in last 11 games coming off a loss.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 17-12 as an NFL starter.
Texans are 8-2 ATS in last ten AFC South road games.
Texans are 5-4 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.

Jaguars (2-8)
Jaguars lost last four games, by 3-5-5-46 points.
Jaguars covered four of their last five games.
Last two games, Jaguars have one TD on 18 drives.
Team total: over 3-2 last four
Opponents’ team total: over 5-2 last seven

Jaguars are 6-3 ATS last nine games as a home underdog.
Jaguars were held under 100 rushing yards in last four games.
Backup QB Jones is 18-27 as an NFL starter.
Six of their last seven games went over the total.
Jaguars have 12 turnovers in last seven games (minus-5)
Jaguars are 1-5 SU/2-3-1 ATS in last six post-bye games.

Texans outgained Jaguars 435-313, beat Jags 24-20 (-6) at hone in Week 4
Houston won 11 of last 13 series games.
Texans are 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS last six visits to Jacksonville.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.

Cardinals @ Vikings (-3.5)
Cardinals (6-5)
Arizona won/covered four of last five games.
Cardinals are 17-12 ATS last 29 games coming off a loss.
In its six wins, Arizona outscored foes 77-30 in second half.
Team total: over 6-5
Opponents’ team total: under 7-4

QB Murray is 34-42-1 SU as an NFL starter.
Cardinals were held under 300 TY in four of five losses.
Arizona is 16-9 ATS in last 25 games as a road underdog.
Under is 5-1 in their last six games.
Cardinals held last three foes to 243 yards/game.
Last three games, Arizona outscored foes 18-9 in second half.

Vikings (9-2)
Minnesota won last four games, holding all four foes under 100 YR.
Vikings allowed 31-30 points in their two losses.
Under is 8-3-1 in Minnesota’s last 12 home games.
Vikings are 6-1 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Team total: over 7-3-1
Opponents’ team total: under 7-4

Minnesota is 8-16 ATS in last 24 games as home favorite.
Minnesota has 21 takeaways in 11 games (+3 turnovers).
Minnesota gave up 391/386 TY in its two losses.
Vikings are 3-1 SU/ATS at home this season.
QB Darnold is 29-37 as an NFL starter, 8-2 with Vikings.
Vikings are 11-3-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.

Vikings won six of last eight series games.
Cardinals are 0-8 SU/2-4-2 ATS last eight visits to Minnesota.
Over is 3-0-1 in ast four meetings.

Titans @ Commanders (-5.5)
Titans (3-8)
Tennessee split its last four games, after a 1-6 start.
Titans scored 17 or fewer points in their losses; 31-20-32 points in wins.
Tennessee is minus-12 in turnovers, with nine takeaways.
Team total: under 8-3
Opponents’ team total: over 5-3-3

Titans are 2-5 SU/1-6 ATS in last seven games.
Tennessee is 4-9 ATS in last 13 games as a road underdog.
Tennessee has been outscored 156-88 in second half.
QB Levis is 5-12 as an NFL starter.
Tennessee is 0-8 ATS in last eight games coming off a win.
Titans are 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games vs NFC opponents.

Commanders (7-5)
Washington lost last three games, after a 7-2 start.
Last three games, Commanders gave up 28-26-34 points.
Rookie QB Daniels is 7-5 as an NFL starter.
Last two games, Commanders are minus-3 in turnovers.
Team total: over 9-3
Opponents’ team total: under 6-6

Washington allowed 26+ points in all five losses.
They’re 6-0 when they give up less than 26 points.
Last five games, Washington was outscored 98-59 in 2nd half.
Commanders are 13-20-1 ATS in last 34 games coming off a loss.
Commanders are 8-6 ATS in last 14 games vs AFC opponents.
Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Tennessee won last two series games, 21-17/25-16.
Titans won/covered three of last four visits to Washington
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.

Buccaneers (-6) @ Panthers
Buccaneers (5-6)
Bucs lost four of last five games, last three losses were by 5-6-3 points.
Buccaneers are 1-4 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
Bucs are 7-5 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
Team total: over 9-2
Opponents’ team total: over 8-3

Bucs are 8-9 ATS last 17 games as a road favorite.
QB Mayfield is 47-54 as an NFL starter, 15-15 with Buccaneers.
Six of Tampa Bay’s last eight games went over the total.
Bucs are 1-4 when they score less than 30 points.
Bucs turned ball over nine times in last five games (minus-2).
Tampa Bay is 7-4 ATS in last 11 NFC South road games.

Panthers (3-8)
Carolina is 2-1 SU/3-0 ATS in last three games.
Panthers coach Canales was Tampa’s OC last year.
Carolina’s last three games were decided by total of 7 points.
QB Young is 4-18 as an NFL starter.
Team total: under 5-5-1
Opponents’ team total: over 8-3

Carolina is 2-5 ATS this year in games coming off a loss.
Panthers are 1-4 SU at home, losing by 23-10-18-3 points.
Over is 8-3 in Carolina games this year.
Panthers are 5-2-1 ATS in last eight NFC South home games.
Carolina is 0-8 when they give up more than 22 points..
Last seven games, Panthers are minus-9 in turnovers.

Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU/7-1-1 ATS in last nine meetings.
Buccaneers are 4-1 SU/ATS in last five visits to Charlotte.
Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Rams (-2.5) @ Saints
Rams (5-6)
Rams won four of their last six games, after a 1-4 start.
Rams are 1-6 scoring less than 26 points, 4-0 scoring 26+.
Eight of their 11 games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
Last four games, Rams are only 8-41 on third down.
Team total: under 7-4
Opponents’ team total: under 4-2-1 last seven

Favorites are 5-0 SU/ATS in Rams road games this season.
Last six games, Rams are +5 in turnovers.
Rams are 21-15-3 ATS in last 39 games coming off a loss.
Rams are 4-10-1 ATS in last 15 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Over is 3-1 in their last four road games.
NFC West road teams are 4-7-1 ATS in non-divisional games.

Saints (4-7)
New Orleans won/covered both games since their coaching change.
Last two games, Saints gave up 468-443 TY, but only 17-14 points.
New Orleans is 1-7 when it scores less than 35 points.
Team total: under 3-2 last five
Opponents’ team total: over 6-2 last eight

Saints are 3-3 SU at home TY (underdogs 4-2 ATS)
Saints are 6-8 ATS last 14 games as a home underdog.
New Orleans is 9-15-2 ATS last 26 games coming off a win.
Saints are 1-3 in one-score games this year.
Saints are 11-12-2 ATS in last 25 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
QB Carr is 76-92 as an NFL starter.
Over is 4-2 in their last five games.

Home team won last four series games.
Rams lost 27-20/45-35 in last two visits to New Orleans.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.

Eagles @ Ravens (-3)
Eagles (9-2)
Eagles are 7-0 SU/5-2 in their last seven games.
Last two weeks, Eagles ran ball for 228-314 yards.
Philly outgained last six opponents, 2,717-1,558.
Team total: over 5-1 last six
Opponents’ team total: under 6-1 last seven

Eagles outscored last six opponents 70-33 in first half.
Philly is 6-1 SU/ATS away from home this year.
Last five games, Eagles are +9 in turnovers.
QB Hurts is 45-22 as an NFL starter.
Eagles are 8-1-1 ATS in last ten games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Eagles are 7-5-1 ATS in last 13 games vs AFC opponents.
NFC East underdogs are 8-11 ATS in non-divisional games.

Ravens (8-4)
Baltimore is 3-2 SU in its last five games, after a 5-game win streak.
Baltimore is 8-0 if they score 28+ points, 0-4 if they score less than 28
Ravens are 5-4 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Short week for Ravens after Monday night win in LA.
Team total: over 8-4
Opponents’ team total: over 8-4

Ravens are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.
Over is 10-2 in Baltimore’s games this year.
QB Jackson is 69-27 as an NFL starter.
Ravens are 20-5 ATS in last 25 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Over is 4-1 in Baltimore home games this season.
Last seven weeks, Ravens threw for 7.7+ yards/pass attempt five times.

Baltimore won three of last four meetings.
Last three series games were decided by total of four points.
Last four meetings went over the total.

49ers @ Bills (-7)
49ers (5-6)
QB Purdy didn’t play LW; check status for this week.
49ers are 1-5 when they score less than 30 points.
Last three weeks, 49ers are minus-4 in turnovers. .
49ers are 0-5 when they gain less than 400 yards.
Team total: under 7-4
Opponents’ team total: over 7-3-1

49ers are 11-6 ATS last 17 games as an underdog.
49ers are 12-8 ATS in last 20 games coming off a loss.
QB Purdy is 26-10 as an NFL starter; backup Allen is 2-8
San Francisco is 5-8 ATS in last 13 games vs AFC opponents.
Over is 3-1 in their last four road games.
NFC West teams are 4-7-1 ATS in non-divisional games.

Bills (9-2)
Bills won their last six games (5-1 ATS)
Buffalo gave up 35-23 points in its two losses (8-0 allow less than 23).
Buffalo outscored last five opponents 112-47 in second half.
Last seven games, Bills are +9 in turnovers (14-5).
Team total: over 9-2
Opponents’ team total: under 7-4

Buffalo is 10-10-1 ATS in last 21 games as a home favorite.
Bills are 9-0 SU6-2-1 ATS in last nine post-bye games.
QB Allen is 77-37 as an NFL starter.
Last six Buffalo games went over the total.
Buffalo is 5-6-1 ATS in last 12 games vs NFC opponents.
AFC East home favorites are 5-6 ATS in non-divisional games.

Buffalo won last two meetings, 34-24/45-16.
This is 49ers’ first visit to Buffalo since 2016.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.

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Monday, December 2