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NCAAF Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Friday 12/6/24

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : December 6, 2024 7:33 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60952
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NCAAF
Weather Report

Friday, December 6

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Posted : December 6, 2024 8:38 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60952
Member Moderator
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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 15

Friday’s games
C-USA championship game
Western Kentucky
@ Jacksonville State (-5)
Western Kentucky (8-4, 6-2)
WKU is 1-2 in last three games, scoring 7-21-19 points.
WKU is 7-0 scoring 26+ points, 1-4 scoring less than 26.
Hilltoppers have 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
WKU has 91 starts back on offensive line.
Soph QB Veltkamp has 2,665 passing yards (22 TD’s, 10 INTs).

Hilltoppers are 3-2 ATS as an underdog this year.
WKU is 17-8-1 ATS in last 26 games as a road underdog.
WKU is 19-13-1 ATS in last 33 conference games.
Hilltoppers lost C-USA title game in 2021, won it in 2015, 2016.
WKU is 18-11-1 ATS in last 30 games coming off a win,
Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Jacksonville State (4-3, 3-0)
Gamecocks are in C-USA title game in their 2nd year as a I-A team.
Jax State won eight of last nine games, after an 0-3 start.
Jax State has 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
Gamecocks have 67 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Huff played last two years at I-AA Furman.

Under Rodriguez, Gamecocks are 7-2 ATS as a home favorites.
In his career, Rodriguez is 37-42-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Rodriguez, Gamecocks are 14-5 ATS in conference games.
Jax State was +9 in turnovers the last nine games.
Under Rodriguez, Gamecocks are 4-2-1 ATS coming off a loss.
Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

Western Kentucky beat Jax State 19-17 at home last week.
WKU kicked a 50-yard FG with 0:03 left.
Hilltoppers (-7.5) lost 20-17 here last year.

Mountain West championship game
UNLV @ Boise State
(-4)
UNLV (10-2, 6-1)
Rebels are 10-2, have a +14 turnover ratio.
UNLV are 6-0 SU/4-2 ATS on the road this year.
UNLV has 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Rebels have 79 starts returning on offensive line.
Senior QB Williams started 40 games at I-AA Campbell.

UNLV won last four games, running for 200+ yards in all four.
Under Odom, UNLV is 6-2 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Odom is 8-7 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Odom, UNLV is 9-7 ATS in conference games.
Under is 4-2 in their last six games.
Rebels are in MW title game for second year in a row.

Boise State (11-1, 8-0)
Broncos won last nine I-A games, after a 37-34 loss at Oregon.
Boise has run for 200+ yards in 8 of 11 I-A games.
Boise has 6 starters back on offense, all 11 on defense.
Broncos have 66 starts returning on the offensive line.
Soph QB Madsen has thrown for 2,556 yards, with 21 TD’s, 3 INTs

Broncos are 11-6 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite.
Last 7 years, Broncos are 4-2 SU in MW title games.
Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Broncos are 15-9-2 ATS in last 26 conference games.
Boise is 15-25-2 ATS in last 42 games coming off a win.

Boise (-2.5) beat UNLV 44-20 in this game last year.
Boise (-4) won 29-24 at UNLV October 26
Broncos won last seven series games (4-1 ATS in last five)
UNLV lost but covered its last two visits to Boise.

AAC championship game
Tulane
(-5) @ Army
Tulane (9-3, 7-1)
Green Wave won 8 its last 9 games, losing to Memphis LW.
Tulane was held to 27-19-24 points in its three losses.
Tulane’s last three wins were by a combined 121-9.
Green Wave has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Green Wave has 143 returning starts on offensive line.
Redshirt frosh QB Mensah has thrown for 2,514 yards, 20 TD’s.

Tulane is 5-0 ATS as a road favorite this year.
Tulane is 10-2 ATS in last 12 games as a road favorite.
Green Wave is 31-18-1 ATS in last 50 conference games.
New coach Sumrall is 11-0 ATS overall as a road favorite.
Tulane is 20-13 ATS in last 33 games coming off a win.
Over is 7-4 in their I-A games.
Tulane split the last two AAC title games, with a different coach.

Army (10-1, 8-0)
Army’s only loss was 49-14 to Notre Dame on a neutral field.
Army has run ball for 200+ yards in every game this year.
Army has 8 starters back on offense, 3 on defense
Black Knights have 85 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Daily started 10 games last year.

This is Army’s first season in the AAC.
Army is 4-6-1 ATS last 11 games as an underdog.
Army is 12-4-1 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
In his career, Monken is 5-8 ATS as a home underdog.
Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
Weird thing: Army plays Navy next week.

These teams haven’t met since 2020.
Underdogs are 3-2 ATS in last five AAC title games.

 
Posted : December 6, 2024 9:38 am
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