Mir vs. Nelson Free Pick

2011 ufc 130 picks and predictions frank mir roy nelson

LAS VEGAS, NV (TheSpread) – The co-main event of Saturday’s UFC 130 is a clash between heavyweight contenders Frank Mir and Roy Nelson.

View Real-Time Sports Betting Odds

Mir enters UFC 130 as the slight favorite according to oddsmakers from online sportsbook Bodog.com as he has odds of -140 to win while Nelson has a money line of +110. UFC 130 takes place from the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada and will air live on Pay-Per-View at 9PM ET.

WHY PICK MIR

Frank Mir (14-5) is a former UFC heavyweight champion and one of the best submission fighters in all of MMA. Mir has the ability to put on a slick submission from nearly impossible positions. While making a name for himself as a submission specialist, Mir has developed his striking over the years and has picked up some impressive KO victories along the way. Mir should have the conditioning edge in this contest, as Nelson is not quite in the same shape as Mir.

WHY PICK NELSON

Nelson (15-5) has some serious power in his hands as he has a nice string of knockout victories in the UFC. He has good punching technique and packs more of a punch than Mir. Nelson is also a black belt in jiu-jitsu and may be able to negate Mir’s submission skills. In fact, Nelson does hold a grappling victory over Mir earlier this decade. Mir has struggled in recent year with powerful strikers, as he was KO’d by the likes of Brock Lesnar and Shane Carwin, which makes Nelson a dangerous opponent.

WHO TO PICK?

I like the underdog in this contest as I expect Nelson to be able to negate Mir’s grappling and keep the fight standing, which favors Nelson. Mir likes to think his striking is up to par with anyone, but that really isn’t the case with elite-level strikers like Nelson. I look for Nelson to land a big punch in the second round and follow up with a barrage to earn a TKO finish. My pick goes with “Big Country”.

UFC 130 FREE PICK: ROY NELSON +110

Bet on UFC 130 Odds 

Want More From TheSpread.com? Follow us on Twitter and Facebook or Subscribe to Our News Feeds!

Fighting Predictions

Thumbnail UFC 234 Predictions The UFC Middleweight Championship is up for grabs tonight in the main event of UFC 234 in Australia. Here’s our predictions for tonight’s card.
Thumbnail Pacquiao vs. Broner Prediction One of the all-time greats in boxing steps back into the ring tonight as Manny Pacquiao faces Adrian Broner. Here’s our breakdown of the fight and our prediction for...
Thumbnail UFC Fight Night Predictions The UFC is set to make its debut on ESPN programming tonight with UFC Fight Night on ESPN+. Here’s some picks we like for tonight’s card.
Thumbnail UFC 232 Predictions Two UFC championships will be up for grabs tonight when UFC 232 takes place in Los Angeles. Here’s our predictions for the key fights set to take place.
Thumbnail UFC 231 Predictions Two UFC championships will be up for grabs tonight when UFC 231 takes place. Here’s our predictions for some of the fights on tonight’s main card.