UFC 158 Free Picks

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MONTREAL, Quebec (The Spread) – UFC 158 takes place on Saturday night, featuring a number of top welterweight fighters. Here are some picks to consider for tonight’s card.

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UFC 158 will take place from the Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec, Canada with the main card bouts airing live on PPV at 10PM ET. All odds are according to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv.

UFC WELTERWEIGHT CHAMPIONSHIP BOUT - Georges St. Pierre (23-2) vs. Nick Diaz (26-8)

This isn’t a good matchup for Diaz. He doesn’t have good takedown defense and is up against arguably the top wrestler in the division, or even all of MMA. Diaz may be better on his feet, but he lacks one-punch knockout power. He would need St. Pierre to get into a slugfest with him, and GSP is too smart to do something like that. I see St. Pierre scoring takedowns, landing strikes on the bottom and avoiding Diaz’ submission attempts to pick up a decision victory. UFC 158 FREE PICK – GEORGES ST. PIERRE -465

UFC WELTERWEIGHT BOUT - Carlos Condit (28-6) vs. Johny Hendricks (14-1)

This should be a very competitive fight. Hendricks has the big KO power and good wrestling while Condit is the better technical striker and better submission fighter. I think the key to this fight is experience. Condit has fought the best in the world and been able to grind out victories while Hendricks has relied mostly on the big KO punch. I think Condit will avoid that big KO punch and work his game to earn a hard-fought decision victory over Hendricks. UFC 158 FREE PICK – CARLOS CONDIT +110

UFC WELTERWEIGHT BOUT – Jake Ellenberger (28-6) vs. Nate Marquardt (32-11-2)

Marquardt is making his return to the UFC at 170 pounds after being one of the top contenders at 185 pounds for years. Ellenberger is looking to get back into the top 5 picture of this division. He has great striking power and a good wrestling base, but he is fighting a bigger fighter in Marquardt on Saturday. Marquardt has fought some of the best in the world and has also defeated some pretty solid fighters with his smother grappling and striking. I see Marquardt being too much for Ellenberger in a 15-minute battle. UFC 158 FREE PICK – NATE MARQUARDT +135

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