(The Spread) – MAC foes will battle on ESPNU tonight when Toledo hosts Western Michigan at 8:00PM ET.

Odds: Oddsmakers have installed the Rockets as 12-point favorites over the Broncos, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 68.5 points. Western Michigan comes into tonight’s game with a 5-4 overall record but a 1-4 road mark, while Toledo is also 5-4 and 3-2 at home.

Line Movement: Toledo opened as a 10-point favorite in Las Vegas on Sunday but by Monday, the Rockets were already up to 11 or 11.5 at some books. The over/under total has stayed steady, however, and is sitting at 68.5 points at most books.

View 2012 BCS National Championship Odds

Public Betting: Of the 7,400-plus wagers on today’s game, 64% of college football public bettors currently favor Toledo -12. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link provided to ensure that you’re viewing the most up-to-date public betting numbers.

College Football Free Pick: Take the Rockets. According to latest college football trends, Toledo is 40-23 against the spread at the Glass Bowl since 2000 while Western is just 10-21-3 ATS versus a team with a winning record. While senior Alex Carder has thrown for 2,274 yards with 18 touchdowns this season for the Broncos, look for the Rockets to hold him in check tonight. Western has been inconsistent on the road this season and Toledo should bounce back from its loss last week to Northern Illinois.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 11 FREE PICK: TOLDEO ROCKETS -12

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