(The Spread) – Can Tim Tebow lead the Broncos to victory today against the Dolphins?
NFL Odds: Oddsmakers currently list the host Dolphins as 1-point favorites over the Broncos in today’s Week 7 matchup, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 43 points. Denver comes into this game with a 1-4 record and is 1-4 against the spread, while Miami is 0-5 overall and 0-4-1 against the spread.
Line Movement: The line has danced around quite a bit since it opened earlier this week. Miami was a 2.5-point favorite at the Las Vegas Hilton and the line even rose to 3 by midweek. But it started falling as more action came in on Denver and now the line is 1.5 in Vegas and 1 at most offshore books. The over/under total is currently sitting at 43 in Vegas after opening at 42.5.
Public Betting: Of the 1,900-plus wagers on today’s game, 74% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Broncos. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.
NFL Week 6 Free Pick: Take Denver. Tebow should give Denver a jolt of energy and Miami looks completely hopeless on both sides of the ball (especially on offense). According to latest NFL trends, the underdog is 4-0 against the spread in the last four meetings between these two teams while Miami is 0-6-1 ATS in its last seven games versus the AFC. The Dolphins are also 1-5 ATS in their last six games in Week 7 and 16-36 ATS in their last 52 games as a favorite. Look for Tebow to win his first start of the 2011 season.
2011 NFL Week 7 Underdog Pick of the Week: DENVER BRONCOS +1