KANSAS CITY, MO (The Spread) – If you’re looking to bet on Game 4 tonight of the ALCS between the Royals and Orioles, the trends favor the under.
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Royals are -119 money line favorites over the Orioles, who are +110 money line road underdogs. As for the total for tonight’s game, the number is currently sitting at 7.5 runs.
As previously mentioned, the recent trends in this matchup favor the under tonight. The under is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings between these two teams in Kansas City and 12-5-1 in the last 18 meetings overall. The under is also 4-1-1 in Jason Vargas’ last six starts on Wednesday, 5-2 in his last seven starts versus a team with a winning record and 8-2 in the Royals’ last 10 Wednesday games.
The trends also favor the under with Ron Kulpa behind the dish for tonight’s game. The under is 7-1 in Kulpa’s last eight games behind home plate in Kansas City, 23-5 in his last 28 games behind home plate when Baltimore is playing and 4-1 in his last five games behind home plate overall.
On the other side, the under is 6-0 in Miguel Gonzalez’s last six starts as an underdog, 7-0 in his last seven road starts and 5-0 in his last five starts overall. The under is also 8-2-1 in the Orioles’ last 11 Wednesday games, 4-1 in their last five games following a loss and 21-6 in their last 27 games as a road underdog, including in last night’s 2-1 victory for Kansas City.