(The Spread) – Our Underdog Pick of the Week selection features the Big Ten as Northwestern hosts No. 11 Michigan at 7:00PM ET.

Odds: Oddsmakers have installed the Wolverines as 7-point road favorites against the host Wildcats, while the over/under total for this game is currently sitting at 60 points. Michigan enters the game with a perfect 5-0 record and is 4-1 against the spread this season, while Northwestern is 2-2 on the year and 2-1 against the spread versus FBS opponents.

Line Movement: Michigan opened as a 7.5-point favorite at the Las Vegas Hilton but the line dropped to 7 points, went back up to 7.5 and back down to 7 for the majority of the week. The over/under total is now sitting at 60 in Vegas after opening at 59.5 points.

View 2012 BCS National Championship Odds

Public Betting: Of the 7,000-plus wagers on today’s game, 76% of college football public bettors currently favor Michigan. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link provided to ensure that you’re viewing the most up-to-date public betting numbers.

College Football Free Pick: Take the Wildcats. Every year Northwestern seems to pull off a dramatic upset and even the Wildcats don’t win this week, they usually play tough at home. According to latest college football trends, Northwestern is 21-5 against the spread in its last 26 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points and 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games as an overall underdog. Michigan, meanwhile, is 0-5 against the number in its last five road games and 4-23 ATS in its last 27 conference games. The Wildcats obviously have to slow Denard Robinson to have a chance in this one, but the Northwestern defense should be up for the challenge.


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