PHILADELPHIA, PA (The Spread) – National League East rivals square off tonight in Philadelphia when the Phillies take on the Nationals at 7:05PM ET.

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According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Nationals are -142 money line road favorites versus the Phillies, who are +131 money line home underdogs. The total, meanwhile, is currently sitting at 7.5 runs for tonight’s game.

The over has been hot when these two teams clash, going 5-1 in the last six meetings in Philadelphia nad 5-2 in the last seven meetings overall. When A.J. Burnett is on the hill versus the Nationals like he will be tonight for the Phillies, the over is also a perfect 4-0 in his last four starts against Washington. The over is also 5-0 in his last five starts during Game 1 of a series, 7-2-1 in his last 10 starts when his team is the underdog, and 10-1 in his last 11 starts versus the NL East.

On the other side, the over is 13-3-1 in the Nationals’ last 17 games during Game 1 of a series, 5-1 in their last six Monday games and 6-1 in his last seven games versus a right-handed starter. The over is also 7-2-1 in the Nationals’ last 10 games overall, 7-2-1 in their last 10 games as a favorite and 6-2-1 in their last nine games following a win.

Burnett is 6-14 on the year with a 4.42 ERA and has given up 14 runs over 19 2/3 innings across his last three starts. The Nationals will counter with Tanner Roark, who is 12-7 with a 2.80 ERA and has allowed one run or fewer in six of his last eight starts. While Roark’s stats don’t jive with the over tonight, everything else in this matchup certainly does.

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