CINCINNAT, OH (The Spread) - Homer Bailey will take the hill this afternoon against the Cubs at 12:35PM ET, which offers a near-perfect scenario for the Reds and bettors.

View Today's MLB Odds

Latest MLB trends note that the Reds are 10-1 in Bailey's last 11 starts against the Cubs and a perfect 4-0 in his last four home starts versus Chicago. He's also coming off a solid outing on July 5 in which he limited the Brewers to one run over eight innings, although he took the hard-luck loss as the Reds' offense was shut down by Brewers' starter Matt Garza.

According to oddsmakers from online sports book, the Reds are -158 money line home favorites today versus the Cubs, who are +146 on the money line. Cincinnati enters play with a 49-42 overall record and is 25-19 at home, while Chicago is 38-52 on the year and a paltry 19-32 on the road. The total, meanwhile, is sitting at 7.5 runs.

Speaking of the total, the over is also 4-0 in Bailey's last four starts versus the Cubs, who are just 10-25 in their last 35 games in Cincinnati and 13-38 in their last 51 games overall versus the Cubs. The over is also 8-2 in Bailey's last 10 starts versus divisional opponents and 10-3-2 in his last 15 starts on Thursday.

The Cubs will counter with Kyle Hendricks today, who will make his major-leageu debut. He has a chance to stick in the rotation with a strong outing, coupled with the fact that Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel were traded to the A's last week.

Bet Today's MLB Games

Want More From Follow us on Twitter and Facebook or Subscribe to Our News Feeds!