Thus far, the Western Conference Finals has not disappointed. The Los Angeles Lakers can head to the NBA Finals for the second year in a row with a win on Friday night, but the Denver Nuggets have other plays – like a Game 7.
Oddsmakers from online sports book SPORTSBETTING.COM have made the Nuggets 5-point home favorites over the Lakers on Friday night. The over/under total for this game has been set at 208.5
In the previous two games that have been played in this series, the Lakers and Nuggets have split the action at a game apiece. The Lakers won Game 3 in Denver 103-97, but the Nuggets answered back in Game 4 with a convincing 120-101 victory.
The trends in this series favor Los Angeles, who is 17-12 straight up against Denver since 1996. The Lakers are also 13-7 against the spread versus Denver over the last three seasons, while the under has covered in 14 of 20 games over the last three years.
While we fully expect the Nuggets to push this series to a Game 7, we don’t like Denver laying five points to cover. You can’t give Kobe Bryant and the Lakers five points in an elimination game, especially when they’ve already proven that they can win in Denver.
Our NBA Playoff Free Pick for this game is the Lakers +5.
Posted: 5/29/09 1:00PM ET